|

EUR/USD recovers few pips from multi-month low, still deep in the red around mid-1.0700s

  • EUR/USD plummets to a multi-month low as the USD rallies across the board on Trump enthusiasm.
  • Surging US bond yields favors the USD bulls and support prospects for further decline for the major.
  • Diminishing odds for more aggressive ECB rate cuts lend support to the Euro and limit further losses.

The EUR/USD pair comes under intense selling pressure on Wednesday and dives to its lowest level since early July, around the 1.0720-1.0715 region during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, manage to recover a few pips in the last hour and currently trade just above mid-1.0700s, still down 1.50% for the day.

The US Dollar (USD) catches aggressive bids and spikes to a four-month peak amid rising odds of a victory for former President Donald Trump, which, in turn, is seen weighing heavily on the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, a Republican sweep could see the launch of potentially inflation-generating tariffs. This, along with deficit-spending concerns and bets for a less aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), pushes the US Treasury bond yields sharply higher and favors the USD bulls.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond surges over 15 points at 4.44%, hitting its highest level since July 2, and validates the near-term positive outlook for the Greenback. That said, the risk-on impulse – as depicted by a strong bullish sentiment across the global equity markets, holds back the USD bulls from placing fresh bets and helps limit further losses for the EUR/USD pair amid rising bets for a less dovish European Central Bank (ECB). 

Data released last week showed that inflation in the Eurozone rose to 2% in October. Furthermore, the better-than-expected GDP growth figures from the Eurozone's largest economies suggest that the ECB will stick to a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut at its next policy meeting in December. This, in turn, could offer some support to the EUR/USD pair, though a sustained break and acceptance below the 1.0800 mark suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 1.58%1.08%1.52%0.59%1.71%1.24%1.07%
EUR-1.58% -0.48%-0.03%-0.96%0.13%-0.34%-0.50%
GBP-1.08%0.48% 0.44%-0.48%0.61%0.15%-0.02%
JPY-1.52%0.03%-0.44% -0.93%0.17%-0.31%-0.46%
CAD-0.59%0.96%0.48%0.93% 1.10%0.64%0.47%
AUD-1.71%-0.13%-0.61%-0.17%-1.10% -0.47%-0.62%
NZD-1.24%0.34%-0.15%0.31%-0.64%0.47% -0.16%
CHF-1.07%0.50%0.02%0.46%-0.47%0.62%0.16% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.7150 after Chinese data

AUD/USD remains on the back foot below 0.7150 in the Asian session on Tuesday, close to an over three-week low touched the previous day. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs ahead of the FOMC meeting and oil-driven inflation risks, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on the currency pair. Mixed Chinese activity data for August also fail to inspire the Aussie.

USD/JPY extends gains toward 155.00 amid USD resurgence

USD/JPY keeps pushing higher toward 155.00 early Tuesday, looking for more upside, as traders await the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week. Meanwhile, Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields near multi-year highs, supporting the US Dollar and the pair. That said, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ normalization path might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and could limit USD/JPY's upside. .

Gold struggles below $4,300, near one-month low as USD sticks to gains ahead of Fed

Gold struggles to capitalize on its modest Asian session uptick, and remains close to a one-month low, which it touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades just below the $4,300 mark as traders move to the sidelines ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC policy meeting, starting later today.

Dogecoin clings to EMA support as recovery lacks conviction
Dogecoin (DOGE) hovers around $0.083 at the time of writing on Tuesday after finding support around the key support zone the previous day. Quiet institutional demand, along with mixed derivatives positioning, suggests fading interest in the dog-themed meme coin.
AI, markets and a more complicated world
The week started with upward pressure on energy prices, US 10-year yield breaching the 5% mark and very uncomfortable questions regarding AI, and this time, it was not about the circular deals, financing capabilities, investor greed, earnings, the impact of AI on different sectors and businesses, the parabolic rise in market prices, PE ratios and so on.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.