|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Climbs but struggles at 1.0400

  • EUR/USD ascends over 0.78%, buoyed by potential US tariff implications and a weak Dollar environment.
  • Technical analysis points to a buyer's market as EUR/USD crosses 1.0400, with eyes set on further resistance levels.
  • Near-term support and resistance levels defined at 1.0222 and 1.0500, with a critical watch on the 50-day SMA at 1.0558.

The EUR/USD increased over 0.78%, boosted by an article in The Washington Post mentioning three US President-elect Trump aides and saying that tariffs will be applied, focusing on specific sectors. The pair trades at 1.0388, above its opening price.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/USD finished 2024 at around 1.0260, but since then, buyers have stepped in, pushing the exchange rate above 1.0300, hitting a four-day peak of 1.0436 after The Washington Post headline.

Momentum seems to favor buyers, though the Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite edging upwards, remains bearish.

If buyers want to push the EUR/USD higher, they need to decisively clear 1.0400, followed by 1.0500. If surpassed, the next resistance would be the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0558, followed by 1.0600.

On the other hand, if bears stepped in, keeping the major below 1.0400, this could exacerbate a pullback toward last year’s low of 1.0222. On further weakness, parity emerges as the next support level.

EUR/USD Price Chart – Daily

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.79%-0.76%0.24%-0.79%-0.39%-0.40%-0.58%
EUR0.79% 0.03%1.00%0.06%0.45%0.43%0.24%
GBP0.76%-0.03% 0.99%0.03%0.42%0.40%0.21%
JPY-0.24%-1.00%-0.99% -1.02%-0.59%-0.58%-0.58%
CAD0.79%-0.06%-0.03%1.02% 0.33%0.34%0.18%
AUD0.39%-0.45%-0.42%0.59%-0.33% -0.01%-0.20%
NZD0.40%-0.43%-0.40%0.58%-0.34%0.01% -0.19%
CHF0.58%-0.24%-0.21%0.58%-0.18%0.20%0.19% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hangs close to 1.1750, with eyes on Fedspeak

EUR/USD is holding its retreat from 10-week highs near 1.1750 in the European session on Friday, capped by a modest rebound in the US Dollar.  The potential downside for the pair might be limited amid expectations of divergent Fed-ECB monetary policy outlooks. Fedspeak is awaited, 

GBP/USD holds steady below 1.3400 after mixed UK dta

GBP/USD is keeping its range trade intact below 1.3400 in European trading on Friday. The UK GDP unexpectedly fell by 0.1% in October vs. a 0.1% growth expected, while the Manufacturing Production rose 0.5% over the month in the same period, missing the estimated 1% increase. Mixed UK data have little to no impact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold retreats from multi-week top amid risk-on mood; downside seems limited

Gold edges lower during the Asian session on Friday and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains, snapping a three-day winning streak to the $4,285-4,286 region, or the highest level since October 21. The prevalent risk-on environment – as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets – is seen undermining demand for the safe-haven precious metal. 

Bitcoin and Ethereum eyes breakout, Ripple steadies at support

Bitcoin and Ethereum are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

FOMC Summary: A split cut and a clear shift toward caution

The Federal Reserve (Fed) went ahead with a 25 basis points rate cut, taking the target range to 3.50–3.75%. But the tone around the decision mattered just as much as the move.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.