|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: The first upside barrier is located at 1.0870

  • EUR/USD trades softer near 1.0855 ahead of the US CPI data on Wednesday. 
  • The pair keeps a positive outlook above the key EMA; RSI indicator holds in bullish territory. 
  • The first resistance level will emerge at 1.0870; the initial support level is seen at 1.0833.

The EUR/USD pair clings to mild losses around 1.0855 on Wednesday during the early European session. The US March Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and the FOMC Minutes will be released later in the day. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision will take center stage. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged at its April meeting, but the chance of easing policy in June increases. 

According to the four-hour chart, EUR/USD keeps the bullish stance unchanged as the major pair is above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in bullish territory around 56.50, which means the path of least resistance level is to the upside.

The first resistance level will emerge near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.0870. The next hurdle is seen at the 1.0900–1.0905 zone, portraying the confluence of the psychological level and a high of March 18. A break above the latter will see a rally to a high of March 21 at 1.0942. 

The 100-period EMA at 1.0833 acts as an initial support level for EUR/USD. The additional downside filter to watch is the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.0823. A breach of this level will expose a low of March 28 at 1.0775, followed by a low of April 1 at 1.0730. 

EUR/USD four-hour chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0854
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.0857
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0843
Daily SMA501.083
Daily SMA1001.0873
Daily SMA2001.0833
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0885
Previous Daily Low1.0848
Previous Weekly High1.0876
Previous Weekly Low1.0725
Previous Monthly High1.0981
Previous Monthly Low1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0862
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0871
Daily Pivot Point S11.0842
Daily Pivot Point S21.0826
Daily Pivot Point S31.0804
Daily Pivot Point R11.0879
Daily Pivot Point R21.0901
Daily Pivot Point R31.0916

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold hits two-week highs above $4,100 despite widening Mideast conflict

Gold hits two-week highs above $4,100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The bright metal seems to ride the optimistic wave that diplomatic efforts are underway. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets. They could act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid widening US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.