EUR/USD Price Analysis: Slight end-of-week rebound fails to break key resistance

EUR/USD gains on Friday, settling near 1.0395 after Wednesday’s steep decline.
RSI rises sharply to 37, remaining in negative territory and reflecting hesitant recovery attempts.
MACD histogram prints flat red bars, indicating persistent bearish pressure albeit with signs of stabilization.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

After suffering a sharp drop of more than 1% on Wednesday, the EUR/USD managed a minor rebound by the end of the week, adding 0.28% to trade near 1.0395 on Friday. Despite this modest improvement, the pair remains below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which continues to limit upside potential and maintain a cautious outlook.

Technical indicators suggest that while selling pressure may be easing, the overall bias remains tilted to the downside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed to 37, still in negative territory but indicating a gradual reduction in bearish momentum. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows flat red bars, reflecting ongoing weakness with tentative signs of stabilization.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1650, eyes US PCE for fresh impetus

EUR/USD turns south to test 1.1650 in European trading on Friday, facing rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar selling bias, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data.

GBP/USD holds gains near 1.3350 ahead of US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the European session on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat.

Gold remains below $4,250 barrier as traders await US PCE data for directional impetus

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday, though it remains confined in the weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to post a mild recovery in December

December’s preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecast to have picked up to 52 from a three-year low of 51.0 in November. A stalled labour market and higher price pressures are likely to weigh on consumers’ confidence.

Canada Unemployment Rate expected to edge higher in November ahead of BoC rate decision

Statistics Canada will release its Labour Force Survey on Friday, and markets are bracing for a weak print. The Unemployment Rate is expected to tick higher to 7% in November, while the Employment Change is forecast to come in flat after a nice gain in October.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bearish streak nears critical support trendline

Pi Network (PI) edges lower on Friday for the third consecutive day, approaching a local support trendline. The on-chain data suggests an increase in supply pressure as Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) experience a surge in inflows.