|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Retreats from 200-HMA with eyes on ECB’s Lagarde

  • EUR/USD struggles to defend the first daily gains in three, fades bounce off one-week low.
  • 200-HMA, comparatively upbeat US data than from Eurozone keeps Euro pair sellers hopeful.
  • Lagarde will speak at ECB Forum, multiple central bankers’ speeches due on the platform during the week.

EUR/USD bulls appear running out of steam around the 1.0900 round figure as they fail to extend the bounce off a one-week low beyond the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) heading into Monday’s European session. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the trader’s cautious mood ahead of a speech from the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde at the ECB Forum, the key platform where multiple central bankers are up for speaking during the week.

Also read: EUR/USD pares recent losses around 1.0900 with eyes on EU/US inflation, ECB Forum

It’s worth noting that the cautious sentiment and the 200-HMA, around 1.0915 at the latest, aren’t the only challenges for the EUR/USD bulls as a convergence of the 50-HMA and the previous support line from June 06, close to .0930 at the latest, also prod the Euro pair buyers.

Additionally, a horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since June 16, close to 1.0945-50, acts as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears.

On the contrary, the mid-June swing high around 1.0860 precedes the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of June 06-22 upside, near 1.0840, to limit the short-term downside of the EUR/USD pair.

It’s worth noting that the early June swing high of around 1.0785-90 appears the final battle place for the Euro buyers.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0906
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.0894
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0809
Daily SMA501.0876
Daily SMA1001.0809
Daily SMA2001.0565
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.096
Previous Daily Low1.0844
Previous Weekly High1.1012
Previous Weekly Low1.0844
Previous Monthly High1.1092
Previous Monthly Low1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0888
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0916
Daily Pivot Point S11.0839
Daily Pivot Point S21.0784
Daily Pivot Point S31.0724
Daily Pivot Point R11.0954
Daily Pivot Point R21.1014
Daily Pivot Point R31.1069

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens to two-week lows near 1.3520

GBP/USD trades on the back foot, returning to the low 1.3500s, or two-week troughs, on Tuesday. Cable’s bearish price action follows decent gains in the Greenback at the time when investors assess latest US data releases and the persistent uncertainty in the US-Iran crisis.

EUR/USD remains offered; breaks below 1.1600

EUR/USD now accelerates its daily correction, breaching below the key 1.1600 support level on Tuesday. The pair’s daily correction comes on the back of a decent bounce in the US Dollar despite disappointing US data releases and amid persistent geopolitical concerns.

No reaction from Gold; still targets $4,300

Gold extends Monday’s pessimism and slipped back to nearly three-week lows just above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The US Dollar’s rebound couple with rising US Treasury yields weigh on the precious metal despite tensions in the Middle East appear far from abated.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP struggle to extend gains despite ETF inflows

Bitcoin stalls while holding above $78,000 support as ETF inflows return. Ethereum takes a breather around $2,450 amid sustained institutional support. XRP remains pressured as the 200-day EMA provides immediate support.

Global bond market sell off haunts markets

Global sovereign bonds are selling off as we start a new month. The UK is, unsurprisingly, taking the biggest hit. Two and 10-year yields rose by 10 basis points at one point on Tuesday, and are currently higher by 7 and 8bps respectively.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.