|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Retreats from 200-HMA with eyes on ECB’s Lagarde

  • EUR/USD struggles to defend the first daily gains in three, fades bounce off one-week low.
  • 200-HMA, comparatively upbeat US data than from Eurozone keeps Euro pair sellers hopeful.
  • Lagarde will speak at ECB Forum, multiple central bankers’ speeches due on the platform during the week.

EUR/USD bulls appear running out of steam around the 1.0900 round figure as they fail to extend the bounce off a one-week low beyond the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) heading into Monday’s European session. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the trader’s cautious mood ahead of a speech from the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde at the ECB Forum, the key platform where multiple central bankers are up for speaking during the week.

Also read: EUR/USD pares recent losses around 1.0900 with eyes on EU/US inflation, ECB Forum

It’s worth noting that the cautious sentiment and the 200-HMA, around 1.0915 at the latest, aren’t the only challenges for the EUR/USD bulls as a convergence of the 50-HMA and the previous support line from June 06, close to .0930 at the latest, also prod the Euro pair buyers.

Additionally, a horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since June 16, close to 1.0945-50, acts as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears.

On the contrary, the mid-June swing high around 1.0860 precedes the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of June 06-22 upside, near 1.0840, to limit the short-term downside of the EUR/USD pair.

It’s worth noting that the early June swing high of around 1.0785-90 appears the final battle place for the Euro buyers.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0906
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.0894
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0809
Daily SMA501.0876
Daily SMA1001.0809
Daily SMA2001.0565
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.096
Previous Daily Low1.0844
Previous Weekly High1.1012
Previous Weekly Low1.0844
Previous Monthly High1.1092
Previous Monthly Low1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0888
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0916
Daily Pivot Point S11.0839
Daily Pivot Point S21.0784
Daily Pivot Point S31.0724
Daily Pivot Point R11.0954
Daily Pivot Point R21.1014
Daily Pivot Point R31.1069

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.