|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Remains subdued near 1.0500 within a rising wedge pattern

  • EUR/USD could lose ground amid a potential bearish reversal as the pair trading within a rising wedge pattern.
  • The downward correction would be indicated if the 14-day RSI surpasses the 70 mark.
  • The pair may test its primary support level at the nine-day EMA of 1.0453.

The EUR/USD pair edges lower after gaining some good profits in the previous session, trading around 1.0500 during the Asian session on Friday. A closer examination of the daily chart indicates a potential bearish reversal as the pair trading within a rising wedge pattern, indicating the declining volume as the pattern develops, signaling weakening buying pressure for the pair.

However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key momentum indicator, is hovering near 60, indicating continued bullish support for the EUR/USD pair. A move beyond the 70 level would signal overbought conditions, potentially leading to a downward correction. Additionally, the pair remains above both the nine-day and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reinforcing strong short-term momentum.

On the upside, the EUR/USD pair could face initial resistance at the upper boundary of the rising wedge at 1.0540. A breakout above the wedge would reinforce the bullish bias and support the pair to test the two-month high of 1.0630, reached on December 6.

The EUR/USD pair is expected to test its key support level at the nine-day EMA of 1.0453, followed by the 14-day EMA at 1.0436, which aligns with the lower boundary of the rising wedge. A decisive break below this crucial support zone could trigger a bearish bias, increasing downward pressure on the pair and potentially driving it toward the 1.0177 level—the lowest since November 2022, last recorded on January 1.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.07%0.09%0.50%0.03%0.14%0.00%0.07%
EUR-0.07% 0.01%0.44%-0.04%0.07%-0.07%-0.00%
GBP-0.09%-0.01% 0.42%-0.05%0.05%-0.09%-0.02%
JPY-0.50%-0.44%-0.42% -0.43%-0.34%-0.49%-0.42%
CAD-0.03%0.04%0.05%0.43% 0.10%-0.03%0.03%
AUD-0.14%-0.07%-0.05%0.34%-0.10% -0.14%-0.08%
NZD-0.00%0.07%0.09%0.49%0.03%0.14% 0.07%
CHF-0.07%0.00%0.02%0.42%-0.03%0.08%-0.07% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 as 2025 draws to a close

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 in the European session on Wednesday, the final day of 2025. The pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 amid renewed USD demand

GBP/USD remains under pressure near 1.3450 in European trading on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold recovers losses above $4,300 amid the year-end grind

Gold price reverses a dip below $4,300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, recovering intraday losses. The precious metal draws support from the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Gold has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).