|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair trims losses after sharp drop, remains below 20-day SMA

  • EUR/USD declines to lows around 1.0200 on Monday, marking a 0.90% drop as bearish pressure intensifies.
  • The pair managed to trim losses towards 1.0300 but the outlook remains negative.
  • RSI declines to 42, signaling weakening momentum, while MACD prints rising red bars, reflecting persistent bearish traction.

The EUR/USD pair continued its downward trajectory on Monday, slipping to a low around 1.0200 before staging a brief rebound to 1.0300. However, the failed attempt to extend gains highlights the prevailing selling pressure, keeping the pair below its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and maintaining a bearish outlook.

Technical indicators further support the negative bias. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined to 42, suggesting that downside momentum is gaining traction. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is showing rising red bars, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant despite intermittent recovery attempts.

Looking ahead, immediate support stands at 1.0200, a key level that, if broken, could trigger a move toward 1.0150. On the upside, the first resistance appears at 1.0300, followed by the 20-day SMA near 1.0350. Until the pair clears these resistance zones, the broader trend remains tilted to the downside.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.