EUR/USD Price Analysis: Looks set for a breakdown below 1.0540

The EUR/USD pair is displaying a lackluster performance around 1.0550 in the Asian session. The volatility in the major currency pair has squeezed after a sheer downside inspired by the surprise jump in the United States consumer spending data released on Friday.

Rising wage offerings by the US firms to acquire talent in a tight labor market have propelled households’ spending. This has triggered fears of a continuation of the policy tightening spree by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The US Dollar Index (DXY) is demonstrating a subdued performance around 104.80 and is awaiting the release of the US Durable Goods Orders data for fresh cues.

Thursday’s Doji formation was confidently broken by the market participants, which resulted in a trend continuation toward the downside. The Euro bulls are expected to find a cushion around the horizontal support plotted from 15 November 2022 high around 1.0482.

Downward-sloping 10-and 20-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 1.0631 and 1.0381 respectively, adds to the downside filters.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has displayed a range shift move from the 40.00-60.00 range to the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the downside momentum has been triggered.

For further downside, a breakdown of February 24 low at 1.0536 will drag the asset towards 15 November 2022 high around 1.0482 followed by 16 November 2022 high at 1.0439.

On the flip side, a recovery move above the round-level resistance at 1.06000 will drive the asset toward February 22 high at 1.0658. A break above February 22 high will expose the asset to February 20 high around 1.0700.

EUR/USD daily chart