EUR/USD Price Analysis: Holds below 1.0750 ahead of US Retail Sales data

EUR/USD weakens around 1.0730 in Tuesday’s early European session.
The negative outlook of the pair remains intact below the key 100-period EMA, with a bearish RSI indicator.
The initial support level is seen at 1.0685; the key resistance level is located in the 1.0790–1.0800 zone.

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

The EUR/USD pair trades on a softer note near 1.0730 on Tuesday during the early European trading hours. The modest recovery of the Greenback drags the major pair lower. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation data and the US Retail Sales data. Retail Sales in the US are expected to rise 0.2% MoM in May.

According to the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD keeps the bearish vibe unchanged as the major pair holds below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The downward momentum is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands in the bearish zone near 43.0,. This suggests that the path of least resistance is to the downside.

The initial support level for the major pair is seen at 1.0685, a low of June 17. Further south, the downside target to watch is 1.0665, the lower limit of Bollinger Band. A break below the latter will see a drop to 1.0610, a low of April 19.

On the upside, any follow-through buying above an intraday high of 1.0741 will see a rally to the crucial upside barrier at the 1.0790–1.0800 region. The mentioned level is the confluence of the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band and the psychological level. A break above this level will pave the way to 1.0852, a high of June 12.

EUR/USD 4-hour chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.0725
Today Daily Change	-0.0009
Today Daily Change %	-0.08
Today daily open	1.0734

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0819
Daily SMA50	1.0771
Daily SMA100	1.08
Daily SMA200	1.0789

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0738
Previous Daily Low	1.0686
Previous Weekly High	1.0852
Previous Weekly Low	1.0668
Previous Monthly High	1.0895
Previous Monthly Low	1.065
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0718
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0706
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0701
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0668
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.065
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0753
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0771
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0804

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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