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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Hits fresh 22-month high of 1.1690 as dollar sell-off continues

  • EUR/USD remains bid amid broad-based US dollar sell-off.
  • Gold nears record high of $1,920 reached in September 2011. 
  • EUR/USD's daily RSI shows overbought conditions. 

EUR/USD jumped to a fresh 22-month high of 1.1691 soon before press time, having rallied by 2% last week. 

The pair printed solid gains last week and is better bid at press time despite the fragile risk sentiment. An escalation of Sino-US tensions, lingering virus concerns, and US' failure to deliver the additional coronavirus package weakened weighed over US stocks last week. 

Usually, the US dollar, a global reserve, draws haven bids during risk-off. This time, however, the dollar has taken a beating against the EUR. The European Union's recent decision to approve a landmark fiscal stimulus seems to have established the common currency as a safe haven. 

From a technical analysis perspective, the pair looks overbought with the 14-day relative strength index hovering at 80. So far, however, there are no signs of buyer exhaustion on the price chart. In addition, there are no signs of a dollar rebound in other markets. Notably, gold is now just $3 short of setting a new lifetime high above $1,920 (September 2011 high). 

As such, the path of least resistance for EUR/USD remains to the higher side. Major resistance is located at 1.1815 (September 24, 2018 high). 

On the lower side, the session low of 1.1641 is the level to beat for the selles. A violation there in the next few hours would validate the overbought reading on the RSI and yield a deeper pullback to the 10-day simple moving average at 1.1510. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1693
Today Daily Change0.0037
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open1.1656
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1374
Daily SMA501.1248
Daily SMA1001.1083
Daily SMA2001.1072
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1658
Previous Daily Low1.1581
Previous Weekly High1.1658
Previous Weekly Low1.1402
Previous Monthly High1.1422
Previous Monthly Low1.1097
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1629
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1611
Daily Pivot Point S11.1605
Daily Pivot Point S21.1555
Daily Pivot Point S31.1529
Daily Pivot Point R11.1682
Daily Pivot Point R21.1709
Daily Pivot Point R31.1759

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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