EUR/USD Price Analysis: Hits fresh 22-month high of 1.1690 as dollar sell-off continues


  • EUR/USD remains bid amid broad-based US dollar sell-off.
  • Gold nears record high of $1,920 reached in September 2011. 
  • EUR/USD's daily RSI shows overbought conditions. 

EUR/USD jumped to a fresh 22-month high of 1.1691 soon before press time, having rallied by 2% last week. 

The pair printed solid gains last week and is better bid at press time despite the fragile risk sentiment. An escalation of Sino-US tensions, lingering virus concerns, and US' failure to deliver the additional coronavirus package weakened weighed over US stocks last week. 

Usually, the US dollar, a global reserve, draws haven bids during risk-off. This time, however, the dollar has taken a beating against the EUR. The European Union's recent decision to approve a landmark fiscal stimulus seems to have established the common currency as a safe haven. 

From a technical analysis perspective, the pair looks overbought with the 14-day relative strength index hovering at 80. So far, however, there are no signs of buyer exhaustion on the price chart. In addition, there are no signs of a dollar rebound in other markets. Notably, gold is now just $3 short of setting a new lifetime high above $1,920 (September 2011 high). 

As such, the path of least resistance for EUR/USD remains to the higher side. Major resistance is located at 1.1815 (September 24, 2018 high). 

On the lower side, the session low of 1.1641 is the level to beat for the selles. A violation there in the next few hours would validate the overbought reading on the RSI and yield a deeper pullback to the 10-day simple moving average at 1.1510. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1693
Today Daily Change 0.0037
Today Daily Change % 0.32
Today daily open 1.1656
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1374
Daily SMA50 1.1248
Daily SMA100 1.1083
Daily SMA200 1.1072
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1658
Previous Daily Low 1.1581
Previous Weekly High 1.1658
Previous Weekly Low 1.1402
Previous Monthly High 1.1422
Previous Monthly Low 1.1097
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1629
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1611
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1605
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1555
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1529
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1682
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1709
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1759

 

 

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