|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Grinds higher past 100, 200 HMA confluence

  • EUR/USD prints three-day uptrend as it seesaws around intraday top.
  • MACD teases buyers but rising wedge formation challenges upside momentum.
  • One-week-old horizontal support adds to the downside filters.

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.0645, portraying a three-day winning streak amid a sluggish Wednesday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the major currency pair justifies the previous bounce off the key Hourly Moving Averages (HMAs) inside a short-term rising wedge bearish chart formation.

It’s worth noting that the impending bull cross on the MACD and the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 100 and 200-HMA confluence, near 1.0620, keep the EUR/USD buyers hopeful.

Also favoring the EUR/USD bulls is the quote’s U-turn from the 1.0580-75 horizontal support area.

However, a rejection of the three-day-old rising wedge is necessary for the pair buyer’s conviction. As a result, successful trading beyond 1.0675 could push back the sellers.

Following that, an uptick to the monthly high flashed on December 15, around 1.0735, becomes imminent.

In the case where the EUR/USD price remains firmer past 1.0735, May’s peak of 1.0786 and the 1.0800 round figure will be in the spotlight.

On the contrary, a downside break of 1.0630 will confirm the rising wedge bearish formation. Even so, the convergence of the stated HMAs, near 1.0620, could challenge the EUR/USD bears.

Should the EUR/USD remains weak past 1.0620, the one-week-old horizontal support area surrounding 1.0580-75, holds the key to the pair’s south-run towards the monthly low near 1.0390.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0646
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.05%
Today daily open1.0641
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0569
Daily SMA501.0296
Daily SMA1001.0115
Daily SMA2001.033
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.067
Previous Daily Low1.0612
Previous Weekly High1.0659
Previous Weekly Low1.0573
Previous Monthly High1.0497
Previous Monthly Low0.973
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0648
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0634
Daily Pivot Point S11.0612
Daily Pivot Point S21.0583
Daily Pivot Point S31.0554
Daily Pivot Point R11.067
Daily Pivot Point R21.0699
Daily Pivot Point R31.0728

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.