|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Grinds below 1.1030 upside hurdle with eyes on US NFP

  • EUR/USD retreats from intraday high after snapping two-day uptrend.
  • Multiple technical indicators challenge immediate moves amid pre-NFP anxiety.
  • Looming bull cross on MACD, downbeat US data forecasts keep Euro buyers hopeful.

EUR/USD eases from the intraday high even as it pares the previous day’s losses near 1.1020 during the mid-Asian session on Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays the typical pre-NFP anxiety as multiple technical indicators restrict immediate moves.

Also read: EUR/USD stays pressured around 1.1000 after Fed, ECB plays, US NFP eyed

That said, a convergence of the ascending trend line from Tuesday and the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 1.1010, restricts the immediate downside of the EUR/USD pair amid steady RSI and an impending bull cross on the MACD.

The likely rebound, however, needs to cross the 200-EMA hurdle of around 1.1025 to convince intraday buyers. Even so, a fortnight-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.1030-35 appears a tough nut to crack for the EUR/USD bulls.

It’s worth noting that an upward-sloping resistance line from mid-April, close to 1.1095, quickly followed by the 1.1100 round figure, could restrict short-term further upside of the Euro pair past 1.1035.

Meanwhile, pullback moves need not only conquer the 1.1010 support confluence but also the 1.1000 round figure to convince EUR/USD sellers.

Following that, multiple supports near 1.0980 and 1.0940 can challenge the Euro bears before directing them to the previous monthly low of around 1.0790.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.102
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.06%
Today daily open1.1013
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0984
Daily SMA501.0829
Daily SMA1001.0778
Daily SMA2001.043
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1092
Previous Daily Low1.0986
Previous Weekly High1.1095
Previous Weekly Low1.0962
Previous Monthly High1.1095
Previous Monthly Low1.0788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1026
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1051
Daily Pivot Point S11.0969
Daily Pivot Point S21.0925
Daily Pivot Point S31.0863
Daily Pivot Point R11.1074
Daily Pivot Point R21.1136
Daily Pivot Point R31.118

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD softens to near 1.3550 on geopolitical tensions, hawkish Fed bets

The GBP/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.3550 during the early Asian trading hours. The US Dollar edges higher against the British Pound amid ongoing Middle East tensions and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium.

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1600; looks to Eurozone HICP for some impetus

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 100-day SMA, near the 1.1575-1.1580 region, or a one-and-a-half-week low, and drifts lower during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1600 mark, down nearly 0.10% for the day, amid modest US Dollar strength as traders now look to the preliminary reading of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP).

Gold: Defending $4,400 is critical for buyers

Gold fades Monday’s rebound from eight-day lows, reverting toward $4,400 early Tuesday. US Dollar bounces sharply amid US-Iran tensions-led risk aversion and hawkish Fed bets. Gold attacks 21-day SMA near $4,400 after defending it on Monday; RSI still bullish.

Ripple, Cardano, and Dogecoin show weakness – Crucial EMAs in focus

Ripple, Cardano, and Dogecoin remain weak after double-digit losses last week, testing their crucial Exponential Moving Averages for immediate support. The technical outlook warns of further weakness in the prices of XRP, ADA, and DOGE as bullish momentum eases.

Fed Chair Warsh runs open-mouth operations at Jackson Hole but can he deliver?
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh moved markets on Friday with his Jackson Hole speech, even though the central bank has yet to do anything to move inflation. Clearly, Warsh wants to convey a message. He’s tough on inflation, and the Fed will “deliver price stability.”
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.