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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Forms head-and-shoulders pattern

  • EUR/USD closed below the 50-day SMA on Wednesday. 
  • The pair forms a head-and-shoulders bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart.

EUR/USD is trading near 1.2094, representing a 0.11% drop on the day. 

The daily chart shows the pair has carved out a head-and-shoulders pattern with the neckline support at 1.2052. A close below that level would confirm a bearish reversal and open the doors to a 300-pip fall (target as per the measured move method). 

A drop to the neckline support looks likely as the 14-day Relative Strength Index is flashing a bearish signal with a below-50 print. The pair closed under the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Wednesday, the first violation of the key SMA since early November, signaling the path of least resistance is to the downside. 

A close above 1.2190 (March 22 high) is needed to put the bulls back into the driver's seat. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2094
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.2105
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.218
Daily SMA501.213
Daily SMA1001.1952
Daily SMA2001.1661
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.217
Previous Daily Low1.2058
Previous Weekly High1.219
Previous Weekly Low1.2054
Previous Monthly High1.231
Previous Monthly Low1.1924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2101
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2127
Daily Pivot Point S11.2052
Daily Pivot Point S21.1999
Daily Pivot Point S31.1941
Daily Pivot Point R11.2164
Daily Pivot Point R21.2223
Daily Pivot Point R31.2275

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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