EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro bulls need validation from 100-day EMA and US NFP


  • EUR/USD bulls approach 100-day EMA hurdle after rising the most in seven weeks.
  • Clear rebound from multi-day-old ascending support line, 200-day EMA favors buyers.
  • 100-day EMA, downbeat RSI and US NFP may recall Euro bears in case of surprises.

EUR/USD seesaws around 1.0760 during Friday’s sluggish Asian session, after rising the most in nearly two months the previous day. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays the pre-NFP consolidation amid a cautious mood and a light calendar, as well as mixed technical catalysts.

Also read: Forex Today: The rally is finally here, and the Dollar knows it

That said, the Euro pair’s successful break of a one-month-old descending trend line joins the receding bearish bias of the MACD indicator to keep the EUR/USD bulls hopeful in crossing the immediate hurdle comprising the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of near 1.0775.

However, the RSI (14) line remains below 50.0 and suggests a lack of upside momentum, which in turn may join a surprise improvement in the US jobs report, which is less likely, to recall the EUR/USD bears.

In a case where the EUR/USD crosses the 1.0775 hurdle, the 1.0800 round figure and the late May swing high near 1.0835 may prod the bulls.

On the flip side, a convergence of the previous resistance line and the 200-day EMA, around 1.0690-85, restrict immediate declines of the EUR/USD pair ahead of the previously mentioned rising support line from October 2022, close to 1.0635 at the latest.

It’s worth noting that the EUR/USD pair’s weakness past 1.0635 makes it vulnerable to drop toward the yearly low of around 1.0480 marked in January.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.076
Today Daily Change -0.0002
Today Daily Change % -0.02%
Today daily open 1.0762
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0828
Daily SMA50 1.0898
Daily SMA100 1.0814
Daily SMA200 1.0498
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0768
Previous Daily Low 1.0662
Previous Weekly High 1.0831
Previous Weekly Low 1.0702
Previous Monthly High 1.1092
Previous Monthly Low 1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0674
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0697
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0693
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0624
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0587
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.08
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0837
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0906

 

 

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