|

EUR/USD price analysis: Early week downturn extends bearish theme

  • The pair kicks off the week with a 0.35% slide to 1.0400, halting its brief two-day winning streak.
  • RSI drops to 38 in negative territory, while MACD shows flat red bars, pointing to persistent downside pressure.
  • The 20-day SMA continues to cap any attempted rebounds, keeping the pair under bearish control.

EUR/USD opened the new trading week on a softer note, sliding by 0.35% to hover near 1.0400. Although the pair had posted modest gains in the previous sessions, sellers re-emerged to push prices lower, reaffirming the dominance of a broader downtrend. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), situated around 1.0500, still serves as an immediate ceiling that the bulls have been unable to surmount.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped further into negative ground at 38, suggesting intensified selling pressure, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains flat and in red territory, indicating that any recovery attempts lack strong momentum. Unless the pair can muster a sustained push above the 20-day SMA, the broader technical outlook is likely to stay tilted to the downside.

Looking ahead, market participants will watch for any fundamental catalysts or risk events that might spark renewed buying interest. However, with momentum gauges pointing south, EUR/USD appears vulnerable to further weakness unless bulls manage to overcome nearby resistance levels.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.