|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Dribbles within key SMA envelope below 1.1000 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders

  • EUR/USD remains sidelined after posting the biggest daily slump in six weeks.
  • 50-SMA, 100-SMA restrict immediate Euro moves while defending buyers past one-month-old ascending support line.
  • Downbeat oscillators, failure to pick-up bids keep EUR/USD bears hopeful.
  • US Durable Goods Orders for March will provide early signals for the key US Q1 GDP.

EUR/USD treads water around 1.0980 heading into Wednesday’s European session as bears take a breather after posting the biggest daily loss in 1.5 months. Also challenging the Euro pair’s latest moves could be the cautious mood ahead of the US Durable Goods Orders for March, expected to improve to 0.8% versus -1.0% prior.

Also read: EUR/USD licks its wounds near 1.0970 after banking woes propelled the biggest daily fall in six weeks

Apart from an immediate challenge to the EUR/USD pair’s momentum caused by the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA, an upward-sloping support line from late March, also restrict the quote’s nearby moves by offering a strong support around 1.0955.

It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s hesitance in accepting bids joins the bearish MACD signals and a mostly steady RSI (14) keeps the EUR/USD sellers hopeful.

However, a clear downside break of the 1.0955 support confluence, encompassing the 100-SMA and the aforementioned trend line, becomes necessary to convince the Euro sellers.

Even so, the 200-SMA level of 1.0865 can act as the last defense of the EUR/USD buyers.

On the contrary, an upside break of the 50-SMA hurdle of 1.0980 will need validation from the 1.1000 psychological magnet to convince the Euro bulls.

Following that, a descending resistance line from mid-April, close to 1.1065 at the latest, will be crucial for the EUR/USD pair to cross to keep the bulls on board.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0975
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02%
Today daily open1.0973
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.094
Daily SMA501.0778
Daily SMA1001.0747
Daily SMA2001.0401
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1067
Previous Daily Low1.0964
Previous Weekly High1.1
Previous Weekly Low1.0909
Previous Monthly High1.093
Previous Monthly Low1.0516
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1003
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1028
Daily Pivot Point S11.0936
Daily Pivot Point S21.0898
Daily Pivot Point S31.0832
Daily Pivot Point R11.1039
Daily Pivot Point R21.1104
Daily Pivot Point R31.1142

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims losses, approaches 1.3500

GBP/USD adds to the multi-day negative streak, although it has managed to bounce off earlier four-week lows near 1.3470 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Cable’s deep correction comes despite the tepid performance in the Greenback and the persistent geopolitical concerns.

EUR/USD slips back toward 1.1580 on USD recovery

EUR/USD comes under some pressure and revisits the 1.1580 region as the NA session draws to a close on Wednesday. That said, spot adds to Tuesday’s bearish performance while the Greenback is slowly gathering steam and leaving behind earlier lows.

Gold keeps the recovery in place; focus is back to $4,400

Gold continues to regain ground lost and sets its target on the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s rebound comes amid modest losses in the US Dollar, steady geopolitical uncertainty and mixed US Treasury yields.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC comes under pressure, XAU rebounds amid US-Iran strikes
Bitcoin (BTC) remains neutral-to-bullish, edging lower near $77,000 support on Wednesday. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been unable to sustain a recovery after being rejected around $81,500 last Friday. Meanwhile, its downside appears broadly protected due to an established moving average cluster.
BoC recap: Risks are shifting as Oil prices and US trade actions complicate outlook
The Bank of Canada (BoC) left its overnight interest rate unchanged at 2.25% on Wednesday, as widely anticipated, but delivered a more cautious message as inflation risks increased and the recovery became harder to assess.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Dribbles within key SMA envelope below 1.1000 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders