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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bounces off 50-day EMA but stays on bear’s radar

  • EUR/USD picks up bids to pare the previous day’s losses.
  • 50-day EMA probes bears on the way to January’s low.
  • Clear U-turn from 21-day EMA, downside break of three-month-old ascending trend line favor sellers.

EUR/USD renews its intraday high near 1.0705 as it consolidates the previous day’s losses during early Thursday. In doing so, the major currency pair prints mild gains while bouncing off the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

However, the quote’s sustained U-turn from the 21-day EMA, marked earlier in the week, joins the clear downside break of the previous support line from November to keep the bears hopeful. It’s worth noting that the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI (14) line also strengthen the downside bias.

As a result, the EUR/USD sellers remain hopeful despite the latest rebound from the short-term key EMA around 1.0680 by the press time. It should be noted that the weekly low surrounding 1.0655 adds to the downside filters.

That said, a successful break of the 1.0655 support could quickly drag the EUR/USD bears toward the previous monthly low near 1.0480. During the fall, the 1.0600 and the 1.0500 round figure may act as intermediate halts.

Meanwhile, the 21-day EMA level of 1.0758 guards the quote’s further recovery before highlighting the support-turned-resistance line from the last November, close to 1.0775 by the press time.

Following that, a two-week-old horizontal resistance near 1.0800-05 could act as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0698
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.07%
Today daily open1.069
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0813
Daily SMA501.072
Daily SMA1001.0395
Daily SMA2001.0326
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0744
Previous Daily Low1.0661
Previous Weekly High1.0799
Previous Weekly Low1.0666
Previous Monthly High1.093
Previous Monthly Low1.0483
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0693
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0712
Daily Pivot Point S11.0652
Daily Pivot Point S21.0615
Daily Pivot Point S31.0569
Daily Pivot Point R11.0736
Daily Pivot Point R21.0782
Daily Pivot Point R31.082

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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