EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears attacking the bullish H4 trendline support

EUR/USD H4 M-formation is compelling for the start of the week.
Bers eye a downside move below 1.0780.

Ross J Burland FXStreet

As per the prior analysis, EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls could be running into a trap, it was explained that the breakout traders had been triggered into the market ahead of the Consumer Price Index event. However, the data ignited a rally that took out the 1.0800 and likely hunted down stops in the 1.0850s. This leaves the scope of a reversal on the cards for the days ahead as per the poster CPI technical analysis, EUR/USD prints fresh bull cycle highs, on course for 5-day rally.

EUR/USD prior analysis

This puts the downside thesis into play as follows:

The analysis highlighted the downside risks as illustrated above.

EUR/USD update

The price has since stalled and is on track for a re-test of 1.0780s and lower towards 1.0700. However, the bears need to break trendline support on the lower time frames, such as the 4-hour chart as follows:

The M-formation is compelling in this regard. the neckline needs to hold for the open this week to reaffirm the bearish bias and prospects of a break of the trendline and downside potential for the week ahead.

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold rebounds from one-week low as Israel-Lebanon truce pressures safe-haven USD

Gold gains some positive traction on Thursday and climbs to the $4,475 area during the Asian session, reversing a major part of the previous day's slide to a one-week low. The Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and supports the commodity.

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar

The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.