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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bear flag breakdown on D1

  • EUR/USD's bear flag breakdown has exposed September lows. 
  • The daily chart RSI also favors deeper losses. 

The path of least resistance for EUR/USD is to the downside. 

The pair fell by over 0.6% on Wednesday, confirming a bear flag breakdown on the daily chart. The breakdown indicates the sell-off from the Sept. 1 high of 1.2011 has resumed. As such, a re-test of the Sept. 25 low of 1.612 looks likely.

Supporting the case for a deeper drop is the below-50 or bearish reading on the 14-day relative strength index. Also, the daily chart MACD histogram is printing deeper bars below the zero line. That's a sign of the strengthening of bearish momentum. 

The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the pair finds acceptance above Thursday's high of 1.1758. At press time, the pair is trading largely unchanged on the day near 1.1673.

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1673
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.1675
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1774
Daily SMA501.1789
Daily SMA1001.165
Daily SMA2001.1312
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1759
Previous Daily Low1.165
Previous Weekly High1.1881
Previous Weekly Low1.1703
Previous Monthly High1.2011
Previous Monthly Low1.1612
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1692
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1717
Daily Pivot Point S11.163
Daily Pivot Point S21.1586
Daily Pivot Point S31.1522
Daily Pivot Point R11.1739
Daily Pivot Point R21.1803
Daily Pivot Point R31.1847

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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