|

EUR/USD options market bias has flipped bullish, risk reversals show

On Thursday, EUR/USD one-month risk reversals (EUR1MRR) crossed above zero or flipped bullish to euro calls – the first positive reading since March 11. 

It was trading at 0.025 in favor of call options or bullish bets, which give the holder the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined rate on or before a specific date. 

The move coincides with EUR/USD's rise to 1.10, which has put the bulls back into the driver's seat, according to technical charts. 

The metric bottomed out at -3.85 on March 23. Risk reversals trade below zero when put option or bearish bets draw greater demand than calls. 

EUR1MRR

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD ranges below 1.3450 amid US-Iran uncertainty, ahead of US data

GBP/USD keeps its range below 1.3450 in the European session on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks drives traders toward a safe-haven currency such as the US Dollar, while undermining the risk-sensitive British Pound. All eyes remain on the US JOLTS data and Mideast headlines.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500, awaits US jobs data

EUR/USD holds steady around 1.1505 in European trading hours on Wednesday. Markets remain cautious ahead of a slew of US jobs data, starting with the JOLTS Job Openings Survey later today. However, the downside appears capped by hot Eurozone inflation in July, bolstering the case for a European Central Bank rate hike at the next meeting.

Gold consolidates above $4,050 amid Fed hike bets and Iran uncertainty

Gold seesaws between tepid gains and minor losses during the Asian session as traders seem hesitant and opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis. The US Dollar struggles to build on the previous day's solid bounce from the lowest level since Mid-June and acts as a tailwind for the bullion. However, the uncertainty over US-Iran peace talks helps limit the downside for the buck.

Ripple and Stellar steady as derivatives data points to easing downside pressure

Ripple and Stellar show mixed price action, with XRP holding above the key $1 support zone while XLM faces rejection at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics alongside fading bearish momentum suggest that the downside pressure may be easing for both altcoins. Derivatives data shows mild bullish sentiment among traders.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.