|

EUR/USD off-lows, re-takes 1.2400 ahead of US GDP

  • Month/ quarter-end flows capping the upside, as USD firms up.
  • All eyes remain on US Q4 GDP amid a data-empty EU docket.

The EUR/USD pair stalled its Asian recovery mode near 1.2420 levels and came under heavy selling pressure on the European open, as the bears eyed a break below the 1.2375 support area. However, fresh buyers emerged near the last, prompting a quick recovery in the spot, in a bid to regain the 1.24 handle.

The sharp declines in the major were partly fuelled by broad-based US dollar strength, a\s easing worries over the US-China trade war combined with the North Korean leader Kim’s upbeat comments lifted the sentiment around the buck.

Moreover, rising concerns over declining inflationary pressures in the Euro area also collaborated to the renewed weakness in the EUR while falling German 10-year bond yields were also seen as one of the main catalysts behind the declines to 1.2377 lows. The 10-year German bund yields trade at the lowest levels in two months at 0.473%, losing -4.60% on the day.

Focus now shift towards the US Q4 final GDP data due later in the NA session, with the greenback likely to receive an additional boost on an upward revision. In the meantime, the broader market sentiment and the price-action around the German yields will continue to drive the EUR moves.

EUR/USD levels to watch

FXStreet’s Analyst Haresh Menghani notes, “From a technical perspective, the near-term bullish outlook remains and is further reinforced by the reemergence of dip demand below the 1.2400 handle. Moreover, the recent break through a descending trend-line hurdle further adds credence to positive bias and hence, the pair seems poised to make a fresh attempt towards reclaiming the key 1.2500 psychological mark.”

“On the flip side, any follow-through retracement is likely to find fresh buying interest at the descending trend-line resistance break-point, now turned support, currently near the 1.2340-35 region,” Haresh adds.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).