|

EUR/USD off-lows, re-takes 1.2400 ahead of US GDP

  • Month/ quarter-end flows capping the upside, as USD firms up.
  • All eyes remain on US Q4 GDP amid a data-empty EU docket.

The EUR/USD pair stalled its Asian recovery mode near 1.2420 levels and came under heavy selling pressure on the European open, as the bears eyed a break below the 1.2375 support area. However, fresh buyers emerged near the last, prompting a quick recovery in the spot, in a bid to regain the 1.24 handle.

The sharp declines in the major were partly fuelled by broad-based US dollar strength, a\s easing worries over the US-China trade war combined with the North Korean leader Kim’s upbeat comments lifted the sentiment around the buck.

Moreover, rising concerns over declining inflationary pressures in the Euro area also collaborated to the renewed weakness in the EUR while falling German 10-year bond yields were also seen as one of the main catalysts behind the declines to 1.2377 lows. The 10-year German bund yields trade at the lowest levels in two months at 0.473%, losing -4.60% on the day.

Focus now shift towards the US Q4 final GDP data due later in the NA session, with the greenback likely to receive an additional boost on an upward revision. In the meantime, the broader market sentiment and the price-action around the German yields will continue to drive the EUR moves.

EUR/USD levels to watch

FXStreet’s Analyst Haresh Menghani notes, “From a technical perspective, the near-term bullish outlook remains and is further reinforced by the reemergence of dip demand below the 1.2400 handle. Moreover, the recent break through a descending trend-line hurdle further adds credence to positive bias and hence, the pair seems poised to make a fresh attempt towards reclaiming the key 1.2500 psychological mark.”

“On the flip side, any follow-through retracement is likely to find fresh buying interest at the descending trend-line resistance break-point, now turned support, currently near the 1.2340-35 region,” Haresh adds.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD keeps the firm tone above 1.3600

GBP/USD clings to its daily gains, although it gives back some of them and recedes toward the 1.3630-1.3620 band on Thursday. Cable’s uptick comes despite the modest bounce in the Greenback, while investors gear up for key data releases on the UK calendar on Friday.

EUR/USD treads water near 1.1670

EUR/USD gives away all its initial gains and receded to the sub-1.1700 region. The US Dollar’s late recovery has dragged the pair lower, leaving it practically unchanged following the NA session on Thursday. In the meantime, investors gear up for the release of preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs on both sides of the Atlantic on Friday.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,500

Gold manages to regain some composure and reclaim the area beyond the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The yellow metal’s daily decline comes amid the humble improvement in the US Dollar while US Treasury yields remain on the rise following Wednesday’s marked retracement across the curve.

Ethereum bulls defend rally above $2,300 despite rising profit-taking

Ethereum continued its rally on Thursday as capital gradually flowed back into the derivatives market after the recent leverage flush. ETH open interest, which is the total worth of outstanding contracts in a derivatives market, has risen by 270K ETH to 13.2M ETH over the past few hours.

Why long bonds have repriced the cost of money
The 30-year Treasury is 12 basis points below its highest level since before the financial crisis. Not its highest since 2023, or since the tightening cycle, but since June 12, 2007, the last time the longest bond in the world's deepest market yielded what it yields on Thursday. Getting there took two attempts and most of the year.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.