|

EUR/USD: Movements appear to be part of a 1.1365/1.1435 range trading phase – UOB Group

The current price movements appear to be part of a 1.1365/1.1435 range trading phase. In the longer run, Euro (EUR) appears to have entered a range trading phase between 1.1330 and 1.1495, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

EUR appears to have entered a range trading phase

24-HOUR VIEW: "Last Thursday, EUR rose to 1.1494 before pulling back. On Friday, we indicated that 'while upward momentum is slowing, EUR could potentially retest 1.1495 or even break above this level.' We added, 'given the lack of strong momentum, any advance above 1.1495 is unlikely to reach the next major resistance at 1.1530.' Our assessments were incorrect, as EUR fell to a low of 1.1369 in the NY session. The current price movements appear to be part of range trading phase. Today, we expect EUR to trade between 1.1365 and 1.1435."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Tuesday (03 Jun, spot at 1.1445), we revised our EUR view to positive, indicating that 'the immediate levels to watch are 1.1495 and 1.1530.' After EUR rose to 1.1494, we indicated last Friday (06 Jun, spot at 1.1450) that 'the outlook for EUR remains positive, but it remains to be seen if it can break clearly above 1.1530.' We did not expect EUR to pull back to 1.1369. Although our ‘strong support’ level at 1.1365 has not been breached yet, upward momentum has largely faded. EUR appears to have entered a range trading phase, likely between 1.1330 and 1.1495."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.