|

EUR/USD: Likely to test 1.1455 in the near term – UOB Group

Recovery has gained momentum; Euro (EUR) could test 1.1455 against US Dollar (USD), but a sustained rise above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, EUR outlook is revised to positive; the immediate levels to watch are 1.1495 and 1.1530, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

EUR outlook is revised to positive

24-HOUR VIEW: "EUR pulled back to 1.1362 on Tuesday. Yesterday, Wednesday, when EUR was at 1.1385, we indicated that 'there is no significant increase in downward momentum, and instead of continuing to pull back, EUR is more likely to trade in a range of 1.1360/1.1430.' EUR subsequently dipped to 1.1356 before recovering, reaching 1.1434. The recovery has gained some momentum, and today, EUR could test this week’s high, near 1.1455. A breach of this level is not ruled out, but the current momentum suggests a sustained rise above this level is unlikely. Any further advance is also unlikely to reach the major resistance at 1.1495. Support is at 1.1400, followed by 1.1380."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our latest narrative was from two days ago, 03 Jun, when EUR was at 1.1445. We revised our EUR outlook to positive, and we indicated 'the immediate levels to watch are 1.1495 and 1.1530.' Although EUR has not been able to make much headway on the upside since then, we will maintain our view as long as 1.1345 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) is intact."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.