- EUR/USD created a doji candle last week, signaling indecision in the market.
- A convincing move above 1.1570 would signal a bullish reversal, although that is unlikely to happen in the near-term, courtesy of dovish ECB expectations.
The EUR/USD pair hit a high and low of 1.1570 and 1.1289, respectively, before ending the month on a flat note at 1.1447.
Essentially, the pair created a classic doji candle last month, which is widely considered a sign of indecision in the market place.
The next big move depends on the follow-through to that doji candle. Acceptance above the previous month's high of 1.1570 would imply a bullish reversal and allow a test of supply around the key resistance of 1.1815 (September 2018 high).
A move below 1.1289 (last month's low) would boost the odds of a drop to the psychological support of 1.10.
The markets seem to have priced in the Fed rate hike pause in the last few weeks. Further, investors may reassess the Fed outlook if the US data continues to beat expectations and wage price inflation shows signs of life. Put simply, the prospects of a convincing break above 1.1570 looks weak.
Meanwhile, the ECB rate hike expectations are melting away. Therefore, the probability of a near-term drop below 1.289 is high.
EUR/USD Technical Levels
EUR/USD
Overview:
Today Last Price: 1.1445
Today Daily change: -0.0015 pips
Today Daily change %: -0.13%
Today Daily Open: 1.146
Trends:
Daily SMA20: 1.1427
Daily SMA50: 1.1396
Daily SMA100: 1.1442
Daily SMA200: 1.1561
Levels:
Previous Daily High: 1.1489
Previous Daily Low: 1.1434
Previous Weekly High: 1.1516
Previous Weekly Low: 1.139
Previous Monthly High: 1.1586
Previous Monthly Low: 1.1289
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.1468
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.1455
Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.1433
Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.1406
Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.1378
Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.1487
Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.1515
Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.1542
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