|

EUR/USD - in search of a firm direction, range-bound above mid-1.1800s

   •  Sideways within previous session’s trading range. 
   •  Modest USD/US bond yields uptick capping gains. 
   •  US data eyed for short-term trading opportunities.

The EUR/USD pair quickly reversed a dip to 1.1840 level and has managed to bounce off around 20-25 pips from session tops.

The pair had a good two-way move within previous session's trading range and lacked any firm directional bias amid a combination of diverging factors. Today's mixed Euro-zone economic data did little to provide any fresh impetus, while a modest pickup in the US Dollar demand, supported by a goodish uptick in the US Treasury bond yields, capped any meaningful up-move. 

Traders now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of trade balance data and ISM non-manufacturing PMI would now be looked upon for some impetus.

Meanwhile, the recent price action clearly seems to suggest that traders remained reluctant to place aggressive bets and want to wait for a fresh trigger before positioning for the next leg of directional move. 

Hence, Friday's keenly watched US monthly jobs report, popularly known as NFP, might now act a key determinant of the pair's near-term trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

Sustained weakness below 1.1840 level is likely to accelerate the slide towards the 1.1800 handle before the pair eventually aims towards testing its next support near mid-1.1700s. On the upside, any bullish momentum is likely to confront fresh supply near the 1.1900 handle and is closely followed by the 1.1920-25 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trades  near daily lows on persistent US Dollar strength

GBP/USD lost traction and declined toward 1.3150 following a short-lasting recovery attempt to the 1.3200 region in the early European session. The pair trades near its low early in the American session as US PCE inflation data came in line with expectations.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1350 after US PCE inflation

EUR/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades in negative territory below 1.1350 on Thursday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar hold its ground and weighs on the pair as market participants assess the US PCE inflation report for May.

Gold struggles to stabilize above $4,000

Gold remains on the back foot, trading around $4,000 on Thursday. The commodity sticks to its bearish bias for the third straight day, and remains close to the lowest level since November 2025, touched on Wednesday.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Bitcoin nears make-or-break level ahead of US PCE data

Bitcoin recovers slightly, trading at $61,700 after reaching a new yearly low of $59,103 and a 21-month low the previous day. This bearish price action is supported by the ongoing institutional sell-off, which recorded an outflow of over $469 million on Wednesday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.