|

EUR/USD hovers near 1.0900 with an improved risk appetite

  • EUR/USD received support after the lower CPI and Retail Sales data released on Wednesday.
  • US Dollar depreciated due to lower US Treasury yields.
  • The Euro appreciates on increasing expectations for a convergence in monetary policy between the Eurozone and the US.

EUR/USD treads water to continue its winning streak for the fourth session, trading around 1.0880 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The US Dollar’s (USD) decline is contributing to pressure on the EUR/USD pair, which could be attributed to the improved risk appetite.

On Wednesday, the lower-than-expected monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales data in the United States (US) supported the probability of multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. US CPI decelerated to 0.3% month-over-month in April and came in at a lower-than-expected 0.4% reading. While Retail Sales flattened, falling short of the expected increase of 0.4%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, hovers around 104.20. The decline in the US Treasury yields is weakening the Greenback. The 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds stand at 4.71% and 4.32, respectively, by the press time.

On the Euro side, on Wednesday, the seasonally adjusted Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the Eurozone expanded by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter, meeting expectations. This growth signals a recovery from the 0.1% contraction experienced in each of the previous two quarters. Additionally, the annual growth rate matched expectations at 0.4%.

The Euro receives support from increasing expectations for a convergence in monetary policy between the Eurozone and the United States (US). The European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to lower rates during its upcoming meeting in June. While, market expectations are rising for the Fed to commence interest rate cuts from September, particularly after core inflation slowed in April for the first time in six months.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.088
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1.0884
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0734
Daily SMA501.0786
Daily SMA1001.0823
Daily SMA2001.079
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0886
Previous Daily Low1.0813
Previous Weekly High1.0791
Previous Weekly Low1.0724
Previous Monthly High1.0885
Previous Monthly Low1.0601
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0858
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0841
Daily Pivot Point S11.0836
Daily Pivot Point S21.0788
Daily Pivot Point S31.0764
Daily Pivot Point R11.0909
Daily Pivot Point R21.0934
Daily Pivot Point R31.0982

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.