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EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700, eyes on US first-quarter GDP data

  • EUR/USD posts modest gains near 1.0700 on the weaker USD on Thursday. 
  • US Durable Goods Orders increased by 2.6% MoM in March vs. 0.7% prior; Core Goods rose by 0.2% MoM, worse than expected. 
  • The dovish stance of the ECB, which sticks to plans to cut interest rates this year, weighs on the Euro.
  • Traders will monitor the release of US Q1 GDP growth number data.

The EUR/USD pair hovers around the 1.0700 psychological level on Thursday during the early Asian session. The modest uptick of the major pair is supported by the softer US Dollar (USD). Later in the day, Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence Survey for April will be released. Additionally, the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth number will be due. 

The US Department of Commerce revealed on Wednesday that Durable Goods Orders in the United States increased 2.6% MoM in March from a 0.7% rise in the previous reading, beating the estimation of 2.5%. Core goods, which excluded transportation, rose by 0.2% MoM, missing the expectation of 0.3%. 

The release of US GDP for the first quarter could offer clues of how strong the economy is growing and point to the Fed's next move. If the report shows stronger-than-expected data, this might trigger speculation that the Fed will delay the rate cut cycle and boost the Greenback. Markets have priced in nearly 70% odds that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark rate in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool,

Across the pond, the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers stick to plans to cut interest rates this year, even though elevated US inflation might delay a pivot to looser policy by the Fed. The ECB President Christine Lagarde suggested that the central bank may cut its deposit rate from a record-high 4% in June, but has kept its options open for further action. The dovish stance of the ECB exerts some selling pressure on the Euro (EUR) and creates a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.07
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open1.0699
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0735
Daily SMA501.0808
Daily SMA1001.0849
Daily SMA2001.081
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0714
Previous Daily Low1.0678
Previous Weekly High1.069
Previous Weekly Low1.0601
Previous Monthly High1.0981
Previous Monthly Low1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0692
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.07
Daily Pivot Point S11.068
Daily Pivot Point S21.0661
Daily Pivot Point S31.0643
Daily Pivot Point R11.0716
Daily Pivot Point R21.0733
Daily Pivot Point R31.0752



 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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