|

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700, eyes on US first-quarter GDP data

  • EUR/USD posts modest gains near 1.0700 on the weaker USD on Thursday. 
  • US Durable Goods Orders increased by 2.6% MoM in March vs. 0.7% prior; Core Goods rose by 0.2% MoM, worse than expected. 
  • The dovish stance of the ECB, which sticks to plans to cut interest rates this year, weighs on the Euro.
  • Traders will monitor the release of US Q1 GDP growth number data.

The EUR/USD pair hovers around the 1.0700 psychological level on Thursday during the early Asian session. The modest uptick of the major pair is supported by the softer US Dollar (USD). Later in the day, Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence Survey for April will be released. Additionally, the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth number will be due. 

The US Department of Commerce revealed on Wednesday that Durable Goods Orders in the United States increased 2.6% MoM in March from a 0.7% rise in the previous reading, beating the estimation of 2.5%. Core goods, which excluded transportation, rose by 0.2% MoM, missing the expectation of 0.3%. 

The release of US GDP for the first quarter could offer clues of how strong the economy is growing and point to the Fed's next move. If the report shows stronger-than-expected data, this might trigger speculation that the Fed will delay the rate cut cycle and boost the Greenback. Markets have priced in nearly 70% odds that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark rate in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool,

Across the pond, the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers stick to plans to cut interest rates this year, even though elevated US inflation might delay a pivot to looser policy by the Fed. The ECB President Christine Lagarde suggested that the central bank may cut its deposit rate from a record-high 4% in June, but has kept its options open for further action. The dovish stance of the ECB exerts some selling pressure on the Euro (EUR) and creates a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.07
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open1.0699
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0735
Daily SMA501.0808
Daily SMA1001.0849
Daily SMA2001.081
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0714
Previous Daily Low1.0678
Previous Weekly High1.069
Previous Weekly Low1.0601
Previous Monthly High1.0981
Previous Monthly Low1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0692
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.07
Daily Pivot Point S11.068
Daily Pivot Point S21.0661
Daily Pivot Point S31.0643
Daily Pivot Point R11.0716
Daily Pivot Point R21.0733
Daily Pivot Point R31.0752



 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above multi-month lows and 0.6900 ahead of Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest bounce from its lowest level since early July and trades above 0.6900 during the Asian session on Friday. Thursday's disappointing Australian jobs data tempered RBA rate-hike bets, capping the Aussie. The US Dollar (USD), meanwhile, is regaining positive traction as this week's hot US CPI and PPI reports keep Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. This further keeps a lid on the pair ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speech.

USD/JPY climbs above 158.00 as USD edges higher ahead of Warsh's speech

USD/JPY attracts some buyers during the Asian session on Friday, building on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of 157.50, or a one-week low, amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. This week's hot US CPI and PPI reports lifted Fed rate-hike bets, which, along with stable US bond yields and geopolitical uncertainties, help revive USD demand. Traders, however, remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which could cap the currency pair ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.

Gold weakens to $4,150 amid reviving USD demand as traders await Warsh's speech

Gold drifts lower during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's move up amid reviving US Dollar demand. US inflation data released this week reaffirmed bets for at least one Fed rate hike this year, while US bond yields stabilize after Thursday's steep decline. This, along with geopolitical risks, underpins the safe-haven USD, which, in turn, is seen weighing on bullion ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.

Ethereum reclaims $2,400 as PPI hits 6.3% and yields fall
Ethereum (ETH) is back above $2,400 on Thursday, rebounding from a brief decline toward $2,340, which was sparked by an upside surprise in the US wholesale inflation report. The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 1.3% monthly and 6.3% annually in September, far above expectations of 0.5% and 5.3%, respectively.
The Iran war will eventually end. Tariffs won't. Here's the problem
Two cost shocks are in the September Consumer Price Index (CPI), and they have different half-lives. Energy is up 20.4% on the year and accounts for about 1.3 points of the 3.7% headline, and that shock reverses when Oil does: Brent was back at its pre-war price on July 1 and above $100 again by the end of the month, after the ceasefire collapsed on July 8.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.