EUR/USD: Further consolidation likely below 1.0760 – UOB

Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Senior FX Strategist Peter Chia suggest a breakdown of 1.0760 could motivate EUR/USD to attempt some consolidation.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We highlighted last Friday that ‘despite the relatively large gains, momentum has not improved by much’. We added, ‘the risk for EUR is still on the upside even though 1.0900 is expected to offer solid resistance’. However, EUR did not challenge 1.0900 as it dropped from 1.0867 to 1.0778 before closing at 1.0828 (-0.17%). The price actions appear to be part of a consolidation phase. Today, EUR is likely to trade sideways between 1.0780 and 1.0870.”

Next 1-3: “We highlighted last Friday (13 Jan, spot at 1.0850) that the improved upward momentum suggests further EUR strength. We did not expect the pullback to a low of 1.0778. The price actions have led to an easing in momentum and a break of 1.0760 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would indicate that EUR could consolidate first before making another attempt to advance toward the resistance at 1.0900 later on.”