|

EUR/USD firmer, closer to 1.1700 ahead of EMU CPI

  • The pair moves higher and approaches the 1.17 handle.
  • Further weakness around the greenback puts DXY near 94.00.
  • EMU’s advanced CPI next of relevance in Euroland today.

The continuation of the selling bias around the greenback is lifting EUR/USD to the area of session tops near 1.1700 the figure on Thursday.

EUR/USD looks to data, Italy

The pair is adding gains to yesterday’s positive session and is now extending the rebound from Tuesday’s fresh 11-month lows in the vicinity of the 1.1500 milestone to the proximity of 1.1700 the figure, always on the back of USD-weakness and somewhat mitigated jitters around the political scenario in Italy.

In fact, the greenback is challenging the key support at 94.00 the figure today, prolonging the leg lower after recording YTD tops beyond the 95.00 mark earlier in the session.

There are no new headlines coming from Italy other than potential alliances in the upcoming snap elections. The lack of significant news appears to have removed some tailwinds from the selling mood that hit the shared currency in past sessions.

Data wise in Euroland, EMU’s advanced CPI figures for the month of May will grab all the attention later in the session. Across the pond, inflation figures tracked by the PCE are due seconded by Personal Income/Spending, Pending Home Sales, Initial Claims and the speeches by FOMC’s R.Bostic and L.Brainard.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is up 0.20% at 1.1686 facing the next resistance at 1.1693 (10-day sma) seconded by 1.1718 (monthly low Dec.12 2017) and finally 1.1797 (21-day sma). On the flip side, a break below 1.1511 (2018 low May 29) would target 1.1479 (low Jul.20 2017) en route to1.1373 (low Jul.13 2017).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).