|

EUR/USD falls towards 1.1900 handle post-NFP

  • The Non-Farm Payroll came below expectations at 164K versus the 192K  expected while wages’ growth also disappointed at 2.6% YoY.
  • EUR/USD got an initial boost close to 1.2000 to then fall toward 1.1900.

The EUR/USD is trading at around 1.1920 down 0.56% on Friday. 

The US Non-Farm Payrolls report for April was a disappointment on the headline with only 164,000 new jobs added versus 192,000 expected. Wages also disappointed with 2.6% against 2.7% expected for the yearly reading to April and 0.1% month-on-month versus THE 0.2% expected. The unemployment rate fell to 3.9% versus 4% expected which is seen as positive. 

Initially, the US dollar reacted negatively but it was short-lived. Just after the release EUR/USD rose toward 1.2000 but then fell back as bears are eyeing the 1.1900 at the time of writing. 

Investors might think that the Fed is not that concerned at this point. The NFP report was disappointing but not an outright disaster. Easter holiday effect might have been in play as well. 

EUR/USD 4-hour chart 


The trend is bearish. Supports are seen at 1.1817 and at 1.1741 swing lows while resistances are seen at 1.1937 swing low and at 1.2000 figure. 

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Gold hits one-week high, near $4,100 as bulls shrug off Fed hike bets and firmer USD

Gold advances to an over one-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond $4,100 before positioning for additional gains. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets and act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.