|

EUR/USD fails at 1.0365 and retreats as DXY trims losses

  • US July PPI drops unexpectedly in July while jobless claims hit monthly highs.
  • The dollar remains in negative territory, even as US yields rise.
  • EUR/USD up for the fifth consecutive day, holds under Wednesday’s top.

The EUR/USD failed to break Wednesday’s highs around 1.0355 and pulled back. It is hovering around 1.0325 as the US dollar attempts to recover during the American session as US yield surge.

Other indicator shows a slowdown in US inflation

Data released on Thursday showed the Producer Price Index in the US dropped by 0.5% in July, and the annual rate slid to 9.8%, against expectations of a 0.2% advance. On Wednesday, it was reported the Consumer Price Index was unchanged in July against expectations of a 0.2% gain. On Thursday, a report from US Labor Department informed Initial Jobless Claims rose to 262K in the week ended August 6, the highest level since November. Continuing Claims hit monthly highs.

US yields are rising sharply despite the signs of a slowdown in inflation. Market participants continue to see an increase in the Fed Fund rate at the next meeting by at least 50 basis points. The US 10-year yield stands at 2.84%, the highest in almost a week, while the 30-yield is at the highest level since July 21 at 3.10%. The US Dollar Index is falling for the fourth consecutive day trading around 105.00, after finding support again above 104.60.

 The EUR/USD peaked at 1.0363 after the beginning of the American session, slightly below yesterday’s high. It failed to break and retreat. So far it found support at 1.0320.  A break lower would expose the next support at 1.0305, followed by the daily low at 1.0274. The technical outlook looks bullish as long as EUR/USD holds above 1.2060/80.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0351
Today Daily Change0.0051
Today Daily Change %0.50
Today daily open1.03
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0188
Daily SMA501.0346
Daily SMA1001.0539
Daily SMA2001.0909
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0369
Previous Daily Low1.0202
Previous Weekly High1.0294
Previous Weekly Low1.0123
Previous Monthly High1.0486
Previous Monthly Low0.9952
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0305
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0266
Daily Pivot Point S11.0212
Daily Pivot Point S21.0124
Daily Pivot Point S31.0045
Daily Pivot Point R11.0378
Daily Pivot Point R21.0457
Daily Pivot Point R31.0545

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).