EUR/USD fades part of the recent strength, returns to 1.1260


  • EUR/USD abandons the area above the 1.1300 mark
  • The greenback picks up pace and weighs on the riskier assets.
  • ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s Powell next on tap in the calendar.

The single currency fades part of Friday’s optimism and drags EUR/USD back to the area well south of the 1.1300 mark at the beginning of the week.

EUR/USD looks to Lagarde, Powell, data

EUR/USD so far reverses two consecutive daily advances and returns to the 1.1260 region in the wake of the opening bell in the European markets and against the backdrop of a broad-based recovery in the US dollar.

Indeed, the greenback regains upside traction and manages to leave behind part of Friday’s acute pullback, as investors continue to favour the safer assets in a context of rising uncertainty following the discovery of the newly dubbed omicron variant of the coronavirus in southern Africa.

Earlier in the session, ECB’s I.Schnabel said the inflation is expected to lose traction and she sees it returning to the bank’s target during next year. Schnabel also deemed as premature any attempt to tighten the current monetary conditions.

In the domestic calendar, the European Commission will publish the final Consumer Confidence gauge for the month of November seconded by preliminary inflation figures in Germany during the same period. In addition, Chairwoman C.Lagarde is due to speak in Turin followed by speeches by Board members A.Enria, I.Schnabel, P.Hakkarainen and L. De Guindos.

What to look for around EUR

EUR/USD regained the key 1.1300 barrier and advanced to fresh multi-day highs at the end of last week. The corrective downside in the greenback propped up the move higher in spot, although this is regarded as temporary. Fresh coronavirus concerns sparked after the new variant omicron was discovered last week is likely to keep the demand for the safe haven on the raise at least in the very near term. In the meantime, the outlook for the European currency remains well into the bearish territory on the back of the ECB-Fed policy divergence, increasing COVID-19 cases in Europe as well as some loss of momentum in the economic recovery in the euro area, as per some weakness observed in key fundamentals.

Key events in the euro area this week: German Flash CPI, Final Consumer Confidence, ECB’s Lagarde (Monday) - German labour market report, EMU Flash CPI (Tuesday) - German Retail Sales, EMU/Germany Final Manufacturing PMIs (Wednesday) – EMU Unemployment Rate (Thursday) – EMU/Germany Final Services PMIs, ECB’s Lagarde (Friday).

Eminent issues on the back boiler: Asymmetric economic recovery post-pandemic in the region. Increasing likelihood that elevated inflation could last longer. Pick-up in the political effervescence around the EU Recovery Fund in light of the rising conflict between the EU, Poland and Hungary on the rule of law. ECB tapering speculations.

EUR/USD levels to watch

So far, spot is losing 0.39% at 1.1261 and faces the next up barrier at 1.1332 (weekly high Nov.26) followed by 1.1374 (high November 18) and finally 1.1398 (20-day SMA). On the other hand, a break below 1.1186 (2021 low Nov.24) would target 1.1185 (monthly low Jul.1 2020) en route to 1.1168 (low Jun.19 2020).

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

Latest Forex News


Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD struggles to rebound, holds near 1.1150 after US data

EUR/USD trades around 1.1150 in the early American session on Friday as investors assess the latest inflation data from the US. According to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Core PCE Price Index rose to 4.9% on a yearly basis in December from 4.7% in November, surpassing the market expectation of 4.8%. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3400 on mixed US data

GBP/USD posts modest daily gains slightly above 1.3400 on Friday as the dollar rally loses steam. The data from the US showed that the core PCE inflation edged higher to 4.9% in December. On a negative note, Personal Spending contracted by 0.6% on a monthly basis.

GBP/USD News

Gold recovers modestly after US data, stays below $1,800

Gold managed to stage a rebound from the multi-week low it set below $1,780 but continues to trade deep in the red near $1,790. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is rising more than 1% on the day after US data, limiting XAU/USD's recovery.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Federal Reserve cannot tame BTC’s uptrend

Bitcoin has experienced some significant losses over the past few weeks, with a more dramatic drop occurring this week after the Fed's decision was announced. As losses have extended and BTC has entered into the $30,000 zone, concerns regarding Bitcoin being in a bear market have increased.

Read more

Apple share price set to rise after another record quarter

With the Nasdaq closing at its lowest level in seven months yesterday, the Apple share price has also found itself on the end of the recent weakness in tech shares, down over 12% from its record highs in early January.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures