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EUR/USD: Euro bulls approach 1.0850 as US Dollar traces softer yields, focus on German/US statistics

  • EUR/USD edges higher after snapping two-day downtrend at 11-week low.
  • Euro ignores German exporters’ pessimism amid hawkish comments from French FinMin.
  • US Dollar fails to extend Jackson Hole inspired gains as traders await top-tier inflation, employment data.
  • Consumer sentiment figures from Germany, US will entertain intraday traders.

EUR/USD holds onto the week-start recovery gains around 1.0820 during the early hours of Tuesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Euro pair cheers the US Dollar’s pullback while tracing the downbeat Treasury bond yields. It’s worth noting, however, that the mixed concerns about Germany and cautious mood ahead of this week’s top-tier inflation and employment data from the US and Eurozone checks the pair buyers.

US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped on Monday after posting the six-week uptrend even as the United States mid-tier activity data improves. That said, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields dropped three basis points (bps) to 4.20% and the two-year counterpart declined half a percent to 5.5% at the latest.

On Monday, Germany’s highly influential IFO institute published a survey of exporters and cited the deteriorating morale in August due to weak global demand. The poll also mentioned, “More and more companies are also complaining about being less able to compete at the global level.”

On the contrary, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire ruled out any reduction in interest rates in the coming months. The policymaker also said, “We also need to address inflation pressure in the services sector.”

It should be noted that the US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index improved to -17.2 for August versus -21.6 expected and -20.0 prior. It’s worth noting that the details of the activity gauge were mixed as the new orders and prices paid for raw materials increased but the finished goods prices eased.

Above all, the improvement in the market’s sentiment, mainly backed by China, joined the Fed officials’ inability to please markets with major hawkish surprise seem to weigh on the US Treasury bond yields and the Greenback. However, looming economic concerns about the Old Continent keep the EUR/USD bears hopeful as the top-tier inflation numbers from the bloc and the US for August loom, together with the US employment report.

Moving on, Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence Survey for September will become the immediate catalyst for the EUR/USD pair and may please the buyers in a case of matching the -24.3 expectations, versus -24.4 prior. Following that, the US Conference Board’s (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for August, expected at 116.2 versus prior 117.00, will entertain the intraday traders.

Technical analysis

A convergence of the 13-day-old falling resistance line and the 10-day SMA, around 1.0850 by the press time, restricts the immediate upside of the EUR/USD pair even as the nearly oversold RSI conditions lure the buyers.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0824
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.26%
Today daily open1.0796
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0919
Daily SMA501.0977
Daily SMA1001.0928
Daily SMA2001.0804
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0842
Previous Daily Low1.0766
Previous Weekly High1.093
Previous Weekly Low1.0766
Previous Monthly High1.1276
Previous Monthly Low1.0834
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0795
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0813
Daily Pivot Point S11.0761
Daily Pivot Point S21.0725
Daily Pivot Point S31.0685
Daily Pivot Point R11.0836
Daily Pivot Point R21.0877
Daily Pivot Point R31.0912

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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