EUR/USD: Euro benefits from political risk reduction – MUFG

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The EUR/USD has seen a rebound due to broad-based US Dollar weakness and easing political risks in France. The pair is approaching last year's high of 1.1919, with a potential break above this level opening the door for a rise above 1.2000. MUFG Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman highlights the impact of US policy uncertainty and the recent political developments in France on the Euro's performance.

Euro gains amid US Dollar weakness

"Broad-based US dollar weakness has helped to lift EUR/USD back to within touching distance of the high from last year at 1.1919 from 17th September. A break above that level would open the door for the pair to rise back above the 1.2000-level for the first time since the first half of 2021."

"Heightened US policy uncertainty at the start of this year is contributing to a loss of confidence in the US dollar in the near-term as evident by the recent divergence between yield spreads and US dollar performance."

"At the same time, the euro has benefitted from a reduction in political and fiscal risks in France over the past week."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD extends losses toward 1.3200 on persistent USD strength

GBP/USD loses further ground toward 1.3200 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Political uncertainty in the United Kingdom weighs on the British Pound, alongside weak business PMI data for June. Meanwhile, the US Dollar capitalizes on the risk-off mood and hawkish Fed bets ahead of the US PMI release.

EUR/USD falls to fresh 12-month low below 1.1400

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling pressure in the second half of the day on Tuesda and trades at its lowest level since June 2025 below 1.1400. Mixed PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone makes it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while the risk-averse market atmosphere supports the USD, forcing the pair to stay on the back foot. Traders now await the US PMI data.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, tests $4,100

Gold (XAU/USD) turns south following Monday's rebound and trades deep in the red near $4,100 on Tuesday. Despite positive signals from US-Iran peace talks, widespread skepticism remains toward a final deal and weighs on the precious metal. In the meantime, the USD gathers strength on hawkish Fed expectations and drags XAU/USD lower.

Dogecoin risks fresh yearly lows as bears tighten grip

Dogecoin (DOGE) remains under pressure, trading below $0.09 after failing to break above a key resistance zone, and losing more than 7% last week. Weakening institutional interest, declining social dominance and a rise in bearish derivatives positioning continue to weigh on DOGE. In addition, deteriorating momentum indicators suggest the meme coin risks a deeper correction.

US S&P Global PMI expected to show steady business growth in June

S&P Global will release the June flash Purchasing Managers' Indices for most major economies, with the United States data scheduled on Tuesday. These surveys of top private-sector executives are seen as an early indicator of the country’s economic health.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.