|

EUR/USD: Euro benefits from political risk reduction – MUFG

The EUR/USD has seen a rebound due to broad-based US Dollar weakness and easing political risks in France. The pair is approaching last year's high of 1.1919, with a potential break above this level opening the door for a rise above 1.2000. MUFG Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman highlights the impact of US policy uncertainty and the recent political developments in France on the Euro's performance.

Euro gains amid US Dollar weakness

"Broad-based US dollar weakness has helped to lift EUR/USD back to within touching distance of the high from last year at 1.1919 from 17th September. A break above that level would open the door for the pair to rise back above the 1.2000-level for the first time since the first half of 2021."

"Heightened US policy uncertainty at the start of this year is contributing to a loss of confidence in the US dollar in the near-term as evident by the recent divergence between yield spreads and US dollar performance."

"At the same time, the euro has benefitted from a reduction in political and fiscal risks in France over the past week."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.