EUR/USD eases from 3-day highs above 1.1330

The offered bias in the greenback leads the recovery in spot.
US-China trade talks due to resume later in the week.
Risk-on sentiment continues to prevail in the global markets.

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

EUR/USD keeps the positive performance well and sound at the beginning of the week and is now navigating the upper end of the range in the 1.1330/35 band, or new session highs.

EUR/USD looks to trade, ECB

Optimism on an eventual deal in the US-China trade negotiations remains on the rise and keeps the sentiment in the risk-associated universe well propped up for the time being.

Further support for the riskier assets comeS from the markets’ view than some G10 central banks could postpone any intentions of start some sort of tightening in the next months, all against the backdrop of a generalized perception of a global slowdown.

Data wise in Euroland, the ZEW survey is coming up tomorrow, advanced February PMIs on Thursday as well as the publication of ECB minutes. Across the pond, the FOMC minutes are expected on Wednesday.

What to look for around EUR

US-China trade talks will be in centre stage this week and are expected to sustain the improved mood in the riskier assets, as markets are looking at the possibility that both parties could clinch a deal sooner than later. On another direction, EUR should closely follow comments from ECB members regarding the ongoing slowdown in the euro bloc and potential guidance from the ECB in the next months, at a time when speculations that the central bank could refrain from acting on rates this year remain on the rise.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.29% at 1.1323 facing the next hurdle at 1.1333 (high Feb.18) seconded by 1.1356 (23.6% Fibo of the September-November drop) and then 1.1403 (100-day SMA). On the other hand, a break below 1.1248 (2019 low Feb.14) would target 1.1215 (2018 low Nov.12) en route to 1.1118 (monthly low Jun.20 2017).

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation

We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.