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EUR/USD: Drops back below 1.1800 on virus woes, Sino-American tussle

  • EUR/USD fades Friday’s recovery moves as sentiment worsens.
  • Germany needs lockdown, French doctors warn of increase in COVID-19 patients in the ICU.
  • USTR hints no tariff relief for China, ECB’s Lane advises extended monetary policy easing.
  • Holiday-shortened week lacks data on Monday, risk news remains as the key.

EUR/USD struggles around the intraday low of 1.1788, at 1.1791, amid the initial Asian session on Monday. In doing so, the major currency pair eases after failing to extend Friday’s upbeat performance. The reason could be traced from challenges to risk that recalled US dollar bulls during the quiet hours of trading.

COVID fears are the key…

Among the major challenges to the EUR/USD bulls, the coronavirus (COVID-19) fears are the key as the bloc is already struggling with the vaccines and a deterioration in the virus conditions at home will delay the economic recovery. That said, German Chancellor Angela Merkel recently emphasized the need for lockdown for the region’s powerhouse. The leader also signaled using Federal law if needed. On the same side, French doctors alarmed markets by communicating fresh 2021 high of covid patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU).

Elsewhere, US Trade Representative (USTR) Katherine Tai ruled out any changes to the American tariffs on China, for now, but didn’t refrain from fresh talks from Beijing.

It’s worth mentioning that comments from the ECB chief economist Philip Lane, published via Reuters on Saturday, suggest further economic stimulus for the bloc. The policymakers said, “The European Central Bank must remain a key stabilizer of the eurozone economy as the bloc is at risk of suffering longer-term damage from its pandemic-induced double-dip recession.”

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures drop 0.13% intraday despite Wall Street’s upbeat play on Friday.

Moving on, a lack of major data/events on the calendar, coupled with the pre-Good Friday celebrations in the West, which are likely to go dull due to the covid, can keep the global markets less active. However, risk catalysts should be followed for fresh impulse.

Technical analysis

Unless regaining above 200-day SMA, around 1.1875, EUR/USD becomes can keep bouncing off a downward sloping trend line from February 04, at 1.1750 by the press time.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.1791
Today Daily Change-2 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.02%
Today daily open1.1793
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1924
Daily SMA501.2034
Daily SMA1001.2057
Daily SMA2001.1869
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1805
Previous Daily Low1.1764
Previous Weekly High1.1947
Previous Weekly Low1.1762
Previous Monthly High1.2243
Previous Monthly Low1.1952
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1789
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.178
Daily Pivot Point S11.177
Daily Pivot Point S21.1746
Daily Pivot Point S31.1729
Daily Pivot Point R11.1811
Daily Pivot Point R21.1829
Daily Pivot Point R31.1852

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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