|

EUR/USD continues to make itself at home beneath 1.24

  • The Euro is holding steady within the week's range, lacking motivation.
  • EU inflation disappointed yesterday, and the EUR is dragging a toe heading into Thursday's European session.

The EUR/USD is holding close to Wednesday's ending price, and the pair is still getting comfortable around 1.2380.

EUR/USD analysis: at the upper end of the weekly range

The Euro hasn't been able to make much headway above 1.2380 in April, and the consolidation pattern is continuing to price in. Euro-area inflation data disappointed yesterday, but well-timed weakness in the US Dollar is keeping the EUR afloat at its current levels, but with nothing impactful on the economic calendar for Thursday for the EUR/USD, it'll be up to market appetite to give the Euro a direction to travel.

It's also been a week of EcoFin meetings in Europe, with an International Monetary Fund meeting slated for Friday, and depending on the results of those meetings, traders could have updated expectations from the Eurozone for growth looking forward.

EUR/USD Levels to watch

As FXStreet's Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik noted, "the pair is at the upper end of its weekly range, but still within familiar ranges and with no signs of clear directional strength. In the short term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the risk is skewed to the upside, as the pair develops above a bullish 20 SMA, which advances above the larger ones, while technical indicators hold within positive territory, albeit the Momentum having lost its upward strength, and the RSI now at 60, well below the peak reached when the price touched 1.2413 earlier this week. The 1.2410/20 region is a key resistance area that should be clearly broken to trigger additional gains ahead, as the pair topped around it multiple times over the last few weeks, and where now is the daily descendant trend line coming from this year high."

Support levels: 1.2370 1.2335 1.2295                                                                     

Resistance levels: 1.2415 1.2445 1.2480

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).