|

EUR/USD clings to the consolidative stance – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group see EUR/USD extending the side-lined theme between 1.1660 and 1.1880 in the next weeks.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Last Friday, we held the view that the bias for EUR ‘is tilted to the downside towards 1.1765’. However, EUR dipped to 1.1781 before rebounding strongly. Despite the rapid bounce, upward momentum has not improved by much. That said, there is room for EUR to edge higher and test the 1.1880 resistance. For today, a sustained rise above this level is not expected (next resistance is at 1.1915). Support is at 1.1815 but only a move below 1.1790 would indicate the current upward pressure has eased.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We continue to hold the same view from last Thursday (13 Aug, spot at 1.1795) wherein EUR is ‘still in a consolidation phase and is likely to trade sideways’. That said, upward momentum is beginning to tick up as EUR approaches the top of expected consolidation range of 1.1660/1.1880. While EUR could edge above 1.1880, only a NY closing above 1.1915 would indicate the start of fresh positive phase. At this stage, the probability for such a move is not high.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.