|

EUR/USD: Broader bullish picture remains intact – Scotiabank

The European Central Bank (ECB) policy decision came and went as expected—no change in rates and little in terms of forward guidance beyond reaffirming ‘data dependency’, Scotiabank’s chief FX strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

EUR sees support in the mid/upper 1.08s

“The usual post-meeting leaks around the tone of policy discussion indicated that ECB policymakers may see limited room for additional cuts and might only be able to reduce interest rates once more this year. Markets are still leaning towards the idea of two more cuts (45bps priced in for the remainder of 2024) but swaps and the Euro (EUR) will be sensitive to data that may make the hawks’ case for proceeding cautiously any stronger.”

“The EUR has lost a little ground on the session but should see support in the mid/upper 1.08s in the short run. Just when the EUR looked set to extend gains, a big setback on the daily chart yesterday suggests more range trading for spot.”

“Underlying dynamics for the EUR have weakened a little following losses Thursday and (so far) today but the broader bullish picture remains intact. That should mean that EUR losses will be corrective and might be relatively shallow before renewed gains. Look for support on dips to the low/mid 1.08s now.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold sits at record high near $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is sitting near $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Audiera, Midnight, MemeCore sustain weekend gains

Audiera, Midnight, and MemeCore recorded double-digit gains on Sunday and remain top performers over the last 24 hours. Audiera extends the rally while Midnight takes a breather, and MemeCore struggles at a crucial moving average. 

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.