|

EUR/USD bounds higher post-NFP, taps into 1.0600

  • EUR/USD catches a firm lift post-US NFP release, climbing 1.12% from the day's bottom.
  • Broad-market flows have gone firmly risk-on following a bumper NFP reading for the USD.
  • Euro traders will be looking ahead to Monday's investor confidence indicator for October.

The EUR/USD climbed 117 pips from Friday's bottom bids of 1.0482 to tap into the 1.0600 handle as Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) sends investors piling out of the US Dollar and back into risk assets to close out the trading week. The EUR/USD is now trading back slightly, testing the waters around 1.0580 as investors settle into the Friday close.

US Nonfarm Payrolls soar by 336,000 in September vs. 170,000 forecast

The Euro (EUR) is now back into green territory for the trading week, but only just, after hitting a weekly low near 1.0448. The US added 336K jobs last month, a clean beat of the forecast 170K and a step above the previous print of 176K (revised upwards to 227K).

The economic calendar is looking notably thin for the opening half of next week, with the EU's Sentix Investor Confidence reading for October, which last printed at -21.5.

Next Wednesday will bring US Producer Price Index (PPI) figures, as well as the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes.

EUR/USD technical outlook

The EUR/USD is trading just south of 1.0600 after climbing from Friday's bottom, turning the trading day green and erasing the week's downside losses as Euro bulls look to keep the pair trading in positive territory into the closing bell.

The Euro is set to close bullish against the US Dollar for the third straight trading day, but the pair remains steeply in bearish territory with daily candlesticks still trading far below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.0825. 

A descending trendline from July's peak of 1.1275 remains the target to beat for bidders, and the 50-day SMA will pose an additional technical challenge as it confirms a bearish crossover of the longer moving average.

Technical indicators are moving broadly out of oversold territory, and bidders could use the reversal signals to gain a foothold into higher territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) indicators are both rolling over from oversold to bidding phases, giving the EUR/USD room to run if investor confidence manages to hold steady.

EUR/USD hourly chart

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0579
Today Daily Change0.0033
Today Daily Change %0.31
Today daily open1.0546
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0619
Daily SMA501.0779
Daily SMA1001.0845
Daily SMA2001.0826
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0552
Previous Daily Low1.05
Previous Weekly High1.0656
Previous Weekly Low1.0488
Previous Monthly High1.0882
Previous Monthly Low1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0532
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.052
Daily Pivot Point S11.0513
Daily Pivot Point S21.0481
Daily Pivot Point S31.0461
Daily Pivot Point R11.0565
Daily Pivot Point R21.0584
Daily Pivot Point R31.0617

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold bounces off monthly low as USD selling remains unabated amid falling bond yields

Gold pares heavy intraday losses to the monthly trough, though it retains an intraday bearish tone below $4,100 during Thursday’s early European session. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated as Federal Reserve officials recently signaled there is no urgency to raise interest rates at the upcoming October 27–28 meeting. Furthermore, US bond yields extend their retracement slide from multi-year highs, keeping USD bulls on the back foot and offering some support to the precious metal.

Dogecoin stays weak despite whales and new deal

Dogecoin price remains under pressure, trading below $0.081 despite a modest rebound earlier this week. Santiment data shows signs of accumulation, and Wednesday’s announcement of a Dogecoin Labs partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation adds a mildly bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives metrics and weakening momentum indicators continue to limit the meme coin recovery.

Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs with the AI trade, led by a bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average got most of its share of Wednesday's artificial intelligence (AI) rally from a bank and a bulldozer maker. The index closed near 52,800, its highest close since early September. SpaceX (SPCX) reported 161% revenue growth and the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 1%, but under price weighting the gains that counted most belonged to Goldman Sachs (GS) and Caterpillar (CAT).

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.