EUR/USD bears eye 1.0850 support as US Dollar traces yields ahead of Fed’s preferred inflation


  • EUR/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, extend the previous day’s pullback from nine-month high.
  • US data flashed mixed signals but rebound in Treasury bond yields puts a floor under US Dollar.
  • Absence of ECB speak, cautious sentiment ahead of the key US data exerts downside pressure on Euro pair.

EUR/USD holds lower grounds for the second consecutive day as the US Dollar consolidates weekly losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) favorite inflation number during early Friday. That said, the Euro pair renews its intraday low to around 1.0880 while extending the previous day’s pullback from the highest levels since April 2022.

US Dollar Index (DXY) picks up bids to 101.85 as it stretches the late Thursday‘s rebound after the upbeat prints of the US fourth-quarter (Q4) Annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP), to 2.9% versus 2.6% expected and 3.2% prior. That said, the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields also print the two-day uptrend around 3.51% and 4.19% respectively by the press time.

It should be noted that the downbeat prints of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) details challenged the hawkish Fed concerns afterward and probe the EUR/USD bears. On the same line, comments favoring the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 0.50% rate hike ahead of the pre-meeting silence period also put a floor under the Euro pair.

On a different page, hopes of avoiding the US debt ceiling expiry, backed by the House Republicans’ readiness to push it back to September, seem to weigh on the EUR/USD price.

Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 Futures print mild losses while ignoring Wall Street’s gains.

Looking forward, the lack of clarity from the US data joins the hawkish concerns from the ECB to keep EUR/USD buyers hopeful unless the US Core PCE – Price Index for December, expected to remain unchanged at 0.2% MoM, flashes extremely downbeat figures.

Also read: US December PCE Inflation Preview: Is there room for further US Dollar weakness?

Technical analysis

Although a two-week-old bullish channel keeps EUR/USD buyers hopeful, a retreat by the RSI (14) line from overbought territory signals further downside toward the 10-DMA support near 1.0850.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.088
Today Daily Change -0.0012
Today Daily Change % -0.11%
Today daily open 1.0892
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0762
Daily SMA50 1.0613
Daily SMA100 1.0269
Daily SMA200 1.0311
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.093
Previous Daily Low 1.085
Previous Weekly High 1.0888
Previous Weekly Low 1.0766
Previous Monthly High 1.0736
Previous Monthly Low 1.0393
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0881
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0899
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0852
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0812
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0773
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0931
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.097
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.101

 

 

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