|

EUR/NOK off three-week highs, still above 10.00

  • EUR/NOK moved to the boundaries of 10.07 earlier today.
  • Unemployment rate in Norway ticked lower to 2.3% this month.
  • Norges Bank expected to raise rates in September.

The Norwegian Krone is regaining some upside traction today and is motivating EUR/NOK to recede from earlier three-week highs just below the 10.07 level.

EUR/NOK stays close to 2019 highs

Despite the ongoing knee-jerk, the rally in the cross remains well and sound, advancing more than 5% since July’s low in the vicinity of 9.5800 to early August’s 2019 high just shy of the 10.10 level.

NOK is appreciating today despite lower prices of the barrel of the European reference Brent crude, which are down over 1% near the critical $60.00 mark at the time of writing.

The Krone has managed to pick up pace after the jobless rate dropped to a non-seasonally–adjusted 2.3% for the current month, highlighting the solid momentum in the domestic labour market in perfect correlation with the good health of the economy overall.

In addition, the Norges Bank announced it will purchase NOK 700 billion per day of foreign currency during next month, up from NOK 500 billion.

What to look for around NOK

Another rate hike by the Norges Bank at the September meeting now appears to be on the horizon in light of better results from key fundamentals and despite the Scandinavian central bank showed some unexpected flexibility regarding the future rate path at the latest event. In the meantime, and while the Nordic economy keeps its shine intact, developments overseas, particularly those linked to the US-China trade war and increasing volatility in crude oil dynamcis, could cast dark clouds on the domestic economic outlook and hurt the central bank’s perspective and undermine at the same time the bullish prospect for the Krone.

EUR/NOK significant levels

As of writing the cross is losing 0.19% at 10.0352 and a breach of 9.9764 (21-day SMA) would expose 9.9014 (low Aug.14) and finally 9.7912 (55-day SMA). On the upside, immediate resistance lines up at 10.0694 (high Aug.29) seconded by 10.0972 (2019 high Aug.7) and then 10.1174 (all time high December 2008).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 in quiet session

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day holiday. 

GBP/USD flat lines near 1.3650 ahead of UK and US data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.3650 on Monday. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important data releases from the UK and the US.

Gold corrects lower, tries to stabilize above $5,000

Gold started the week under bearish pressure and declined to the $4,960 area before staging a modest rebound. As trading volumes remain thin with the US financial markets remaining closed on Presidents' Day holiday, XAU/USD looks to stabilize above $5,000 ahead of this week's key data releases.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.