|

EUR/JPY retreats below 163.00 following upbeat Tokyo CPI data

  • EUR/JPY declines as the Japanese Yen gains strength following the release of Tokyo’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday.
  • Tokyo’s core CPI increased by 2.4% year-on-year in March, staying above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target.
  • The Euro (EUR) weakens as trade tensions rise between the United States and the Eurozone.

EUR/JPY retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 162.70 during the Asian hours. The currency cross depreciates as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens following the release of Tokyo’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday.

Tokyo’s core CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, up from 2.2% in February, aligning with market expectations. This marks the fifth consecutive month that core inflation has remained above the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target, reinforcing speculation that the central bank will continue normalizing its monetary policy.

The headline Tokyo CPI for March increased 2.9% YoY, unchanged from the previous month, according to Japan’s Statistics Bureau. Meanwhile, Tokyo CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, rose to 1.1% in March from 0.8% in February (revised from 2.2%).

The BoJ, in its March meeting summary, reaffirmed its commitment to raising policy interest rates and adjusting monetary accommodation if economic and price conditions warrant. The central bank emphasized a flexible, data-driven approach, taking into account evolving economic trends, inflationary pressures, and associated risks.

The EUR/JPY cross also faces pressure as the Euro (EUR) weakens against its peers amid escalating trade tensions between the United States (US) and the Eurozone. Concerns over a potential trade war have intensified as the European Union (EU) prepares retaliatory tariffs in response to the 25% auto tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, set to take effect on April 2.

Germany is expected to be significantly impacted, as 13% of its total auto exports are sent to the US. This development could weigh on the Euro’s outlook. On Wednesday, Trump signed a proclamation enforcing the tariffs and warned of stricter measures against the EU and Canada if they retaliate.

Economic Indicator

Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)

The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on a monthly basis, measures the price fluctuation of goods and services purchased by households in the Tokyo region excluding fresh food, whose prices often fluctuate depending on the weather. The index is widely considered as a leading indicator of Japan’s overall CPI as it is published weeks before the nationwide reading. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Japanese Yen (JPY), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Mar 27, 2025 23:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 2.4%

Consensus: 2.2%

Previous: 2.2%

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan


BRANDED CONTENT

Finding a broker with low spreads can make a big difference in your trading success. Discover our top picks for low-spread brokers, each offering unique benefits to fit your strategy.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).