|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rebounds to near 174.00 despite weaker German PPI data

  • EUR/JPY retreated after reaching a new 14-month high at 174.50 on Friday.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index remains above 50, strengthening the bullish bias.
  • The nine-day EMA of 173.55 acts as the primary support.

EUR/JPY retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 174.00 during the early European hours on Friday. However, the currency cross trims its daily losses despite the weaker-than-expected German Producer Price Index (PPI) data for August.

The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias as the currency cross remains within the ascending channel pattern. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned above the 50 mark, strengthening the bullish bias. Additionally, the short-term price momentum is stronger as the EUR/JPY cross holds above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

A successful rebound above the psychological level of 174.00 may prompt the EUR/JPY cross to target the fresh 14-month high at 174.50, reached on Friday, which is followed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 174.70. A break above the channel would strengthen the bullish bias and support the currency cross to explore the region around the all-time high of 175.43, reached in July 2024.

On the downside, the initial support lies at the nine-day EMA of 173.55. A break below this level would dampen the bullish market sentiment and put downward pressure on the EUR/JPY cross to navigate the region around the ascending channel’s lower boundary around 172.40, followed by the 50-day EMA at 171.84.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.15%0.31%-0.07%0.12%0.27%0.46%0.31%
EUR-0.15%0.17%-0.26%-0.03%0.09%0.31%0.16%
GBP-0.31%-0.17%-0.40%-0.21%-0.08%0.05%-0.02%
JPY0.07%0.26%0.40%0.17%0.48%0.61%0.24%
CAD-0.12%0.03%0.21%-0.17%0.15%0.34%0.19%
AUD-0.27%-0.09%0.08%-0.48%-0.15%0.21%0.07%
NZD-0.46%-0.31%-0.05%-0.61%-0.34%-0.21%-0.15%
CHF-0.31%-0.16%0.02%-0.24%-0.19%-0.07%0.15%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD breaks below 0.7000 ahead of inflation data

AUD/USD has accelerated its downward trend on Tuesday, breaching below the key 0.7000 yardstick ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Wednesday. Indeed, spot has retreated for the second day in a row despite the hawkish hike by the RBA early on Tuesday and in response to the continuation of the move higher in the Greenback. Looking ahead, all the attention will be on the release of Australia’s inflation data on Wednesday.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold trims gains; back toward $4,150

Gold now surrenders some of its initial advance and retests the $4,150 zone per troy ounce on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the move higher in the yellow metal comes despite the firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the board, while escalating geopolitical tensions appear to limit the downside potential.

XRP advances within a robust technical structure
Ripple (XRP) shows signs of stabilizing after reclaiming support at $1.50 on Tuesday. A robust technical structure underpins the token’s short to medium-term bullish outlook. Still, XRP is not out of the woods yet, as profit-taking and buyer exhaustion could weigh on price action and extend the recent correction from September highs around $1.66.
RBA recap: Rate hikes are on the table as demand stays too strong

The Reserve Bank of Australia unanimously tightened monetary policy, warning that inflation remained too high and that several upside risks had begun to materialise. Governor Michele Bullock said the Board would raise rates again if necessary.

Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?