|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Steady around 128.20s after Tuesday’s volatile session

  • On Tuesday, the EUR/JPY finished the day in the green amid risk-off market sentiment.
  • Omicron COVID-19 concerns and Fed’s Chair Powell comments dampened the market sentiment, favoring the greenback and safe-haven currencies.
  • EUR/JPY: Has an upward bias, above 128.17.

On Tuesday, the EUR/JPY is modestly advancing as the New York session wane, up some 0.03%, trading at 128.29 at the time of writing. Comments from an influential pharmaceutical CEO related to vaccine effectiveness against new coronavirus strains, and hawkish remarks of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, dented the market sentiment, favoring the greenback, the Swiss franc, and the Japanese yen.

However, in the case of the EUR/JPY, the shared currency has the upper hand against the Japanese yen, though in the overnight session, omicron woes caused a sharp drop in the pair, favoring JPY bulls, falling from 128.59 down to 127.89 amid the vaccine comments.

Additionally, on Tuesday, at a hearing at the US Senate Committee on Banking and Housing, Jerome Powell changed its monetary policy stance from neutral-dovish towards a hawkish one. He said that the Fed’s target for inflation has been met and commented that inflation can not be longer considered “transitory.” When those remarks crossed the wires, US equity indices plummeted, and the EUR/USD collapsed 130 pips on a free fall. The EUR/JPY followed its footsteps, but moderately witnessing a 70-pip fall, but as the New York session closed, the pair recovered most of the losses, finishing in the green,

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY 1-hour chart deícts the pair is range-bound between the 127.60-128.63 range, 100-pip wide. At press time, the pair tests the confluence of the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) and Wednesday’s daily central pivot point at 128.17, acting as support. Also, November 30 high and low are higher, indicating that the EUR/JPY could be headed to the upside in the near term, but it would find some hurdles on the way up.

The first resistance would be November 30 high at 128.60. Breach of the latter would expose the 200-hour SMA at 128.86, followed by the R2 daily pivot point at 129.13.

On the other hand, a break below the daily central pivot point would exert downward pressure on the pair. The first support would be the S1 daily pivot at 127.74, followed by November 30 low at 127.64 and then the November 29 low at 127.48 

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price128.24
Today Daily Change0.04
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open128.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.08
Daily SMA50130.51
Daily SMA100130.05
Daily SMA200130.59
 
Levels
Previous Daily High128.57
Previous Daily Low127.49
Previous Weekly High129.6
Previous Weekly Low127.8
Previous Monthly High133.48
Previous Monthly Low128.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%127.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%128.16
Daily Pivot Point S1127.6
Daily Pivot Point S2127.01
Daily Pivot Point S3126.52
Daily Pivot Point R1128.68
Daily Pivot Point R2129.17
Daily Pivot Point R3129.76

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.