|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Post gains amid risk-off mood, peaks around 161.00

  • EUR/JPY up 0.73%, influenced by risk-off sentiment and expectations of delayed rate cuts by major banks.
  • Upward trend faces resistance at 161.24; breach could target 162.00 level.
  • Downside risks for EUR/JPY below 161.00, with supports at 159.95 and key confluence at 159.23.

The Euro (EUR) rose sharply against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Wednesday, up 0.73% amid a risk-off impulse and economic data suggesting that major central banks would deter cutting rates in the near term. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY trades at 161.12, posting minuscule losses of 0.07% as Thursday’s Asian session begins.

From a technical standpoint, the EUR/JPY daily chart portrays the pair as upward biased, extending its gains past the 161.00 figure, but its advance was capped at previous support turned resistance at around 161.24, the November 21 swing low. A breach of the latter will expose the 162.00 figure, followed by the November 27 high at 163.72.

On the flip side, if sellers drag the EUR/JPY below the 161.00 mark, that can pave the way for further losses. But they would face immediate support at the January 17 low of 159.95, followed by the confluence of the January 16 daily low and the Tenkan-Sen at around 159.23, ahead of the Senkou Span B at 158.71

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price161.17
Today Daily Change1.07
Today Daily Change %0.67
Today daily open160.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA20157.61
Daily SMA50159.17
Daily SMA100158.68
Daily SMA200155.9
 
Levels
Previous Daily High160.13
Previous Daily Low159.24
Previous Weekly High160.18
Previous Weekly Low157.21
Previous Monthly High161.78
Previous Monthly Low153.17
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%159.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%159.58
Daily Pivot Point S1159.52
Daily Pivot Point S2158.94
Daily Pivot Point S3158.64
Daily Pivot Point R1160.41
Daily Pivot Point R2160.71
Daily Pivot Point R3161.29

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).