|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Juggles around 140.00 after a vertical sell-off

  • The formation of Double Top amid less buying interest led to a sheer fall in the Euro bulls.
  • EUR/JPY is hovering around the critical support at 140.00 and an absence of follow-up buying indicates the Japanese Yen’s strength.
  • A bear cross, represented by the 20 and 50-EMAs, adds to the downside filters.

The EUR/JPY pair is displaying back-and-forth moves in a narrow range of 140.00-140.40 in the early Asian session. The cross has turned sideways after a perpendicular downside move amid escalating chatters that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is aiming to exit from its decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy.

After expanding the range of 10-year Japan Government Bonds (JGBs)’s yields TO +-50 basis points (bps), the BOJ is reviewing the side-effects of easy policy, which indicates that Japanese officials are looking to change their monetary policy approach in parallel with Western nations.

EUR/JPY witnessed a steep fall after failing to extend gains above the horizontal resistance placed from December 28 high around 142.94 amid the absence of sheer buying interest while refreshing a two-week high. This led to the formation of a Double Top chart pattern on an hourly scale, which indicates a bearish reversal.

The asset has dropped to near the demand zone around 140.00 and the unavailability of a follow-up recovery indicates weakness in the Euro bulls.

A bear cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at around 142.00, adds to the downside filters.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates more weakness ahead.

EUR/JPY may display more weakness if it drops below the crucial support of 140.00, which will drag the asset towards December 20 low at 138.80 followed by January 3 low at 137.39.

On the flip side, a breakout above the Double Top chart pattern around 143.00 will drive the cross towards December 20 high at 145.84. A breach above the latter will expose the asset for more upside towards December 15 high at 146.71.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price140.34
Today Daily Change-2.18
Today Daily Change %-1.53
Today daily open142.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20141.58
Daily SMA50143.3
Daily SMA100143.08
Daily SMA200140.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High142.86
Previous Daily Low141.82
Previous Weekly High141.45
Previous Weekly Low137.39
Previous Monthly High146.73
Previous Monthly Low138.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.22
Daily Pivot Point S1141.94
Daily Pivot Point S2141.37
Daily Pivot Point S3140.91
Daily Pivot Point R1142.98
Daily Pivot Point R2143.43
Daily Pivot Point R3144.01

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.