|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls run out of fuel within 15-week-old rising channel, ECB Forum eyed

  • EUR/JPY regains upside momentum around the highest levels since September 2008, ECB President Christine Lagarde speech eyed.
  • Rising trend channel since early March sustained trading below immediate DMA lures buyers.
  • Pullback remains elusive until the quote breaks 151.00 support confluence.
  • Overbought RSI conditions may trigger pullback from 157.40 hurdle, if not then 160.00 will be in the spotlight.

EUR/JPY remains on the front foot as it pares the two-day losses at the highest levels since September 2008 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the cross-currency pair grinds higher within a rising trend channel established since early March.

That said, the quote prints mild gains around 156.85 by the press time, printing the first daily gains in three, as traders brace for the key speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) Forum, including from President Christine Lagarde.

Hence, the bullish trend channel and hawkish comments from ECB policymaker Matin Kazaks join the broad Euro run-up to favor the pair buyers. However, the overbought RSI (14) line challenges the quote’s further upside as it prods the stated channel’s top line, close to 157.50 by the press time.

If at all the EUR/JPY bulls manage to keep the reins past 157.50, the odds of witnessing a rally toward the 160.00 round figure can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, pullback moves need validation from the 5-DMA support of 156.55, a break of which can drag the quote to the 154.00 threshold.

However, a convergence of the previously stated bullish channel’s bottom line and a two-month-old horizontal support zone, around 151.00, quickly followed by the 150.00 psychological magnet, will challenge the EUR/JPY bears past 154.00.

Overall, EUR/JPY remains on the bull’s radar ahead of a speech from ECB’s Lagarde even as the upside room appears limited.

EUR/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price156.79
Today Daily Change0.28
Today Daily Change %0.18%
Today daily open156.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA20152.2
Daily SMA50150.07
Daily SMA100146.76
Daily SMA200144.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High156.72
Previous Daily Low155.75
Previous Weekly High156.93
Previous Weekly Low154.05
Previous Monthly High151.62
Previous Monthly Low146.14
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%156.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%156.35
Daily Pivot Point S1155.93
Daily Pivot Point S2155.36
Daily Pivot Point S3154.96
Daily Pivot Point R1156.91
Daily Pivot Point R2157.3
Daily Pivot Point R3157.88

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.