|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls reclaim the 20/200-DMAs, eyeing a weekly close above 140.50

  • EUR/JPY bounced off the day’s lows at 139.03 and hit a daily high of 141.19 before losing steam.
  • The EUR/JPY reclaiming and achieving a daily close above the 200-day EMA keeps bulls hopeful of higher prices.

The Euro (EUR) rallies sharply on Friday, ahead of the weekend, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened following the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy meeting, with the BoJ resolute in keeping its dovish stance, and the Yield Curve Control (YCC). Therefore, the EUR/JPY gains traction and exchanges hands at 140.63, above its opening price by more than 1%.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis:  Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY daily chart portrays the pair reclaiming the 20 and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), each at 140.45 and 140.15, respectively, keeping bulls hopeful for higher prices. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aims north and is about to turn bullish, further cementing the neutral-to-upward bias, while the Rate of Change (RoC) portrays strong bullish sentiment in the pair.

Therefore, the EUR/JPY path of least resistance is upwards. Hence, the EUR/JPY’s first resistance would be the January 20 high of 141.19, followed by the January 18 daily high at 141.68, and by the figure at 142.00. As an alternate scenario, EUR/JPY’s failure t crack 141.00 could pave the way for further downside. The EUR/JPY key support levels would be the 140.00 psychological level, followed by the January 20 daily low of 139.03, and then the January 19 swing low of 137.91.

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price140.67
Today Daily Change1.59
Today Daily Change %1.14
Today daily open139.08
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.45
Daily SMA50142.5
Daily SMA100143.13
Daily SMA200140.76
 
Levels
Previous Daily High139.42
Previous Daily Low137.92
Previous Weekly High142.86
Previous Weekly Low138.01
Previous Monthly High146.73
Previous Monthly Low138.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%138.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%138.49
Daily Pivot Point S1138.19
Daily Pivot Point S2137.3
Daily Pivot Point S3136.69
Daily Pivot Point R1139.7
Daily Pivot Point R2140.31
Daily Pivot Point R3141.21

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).