|

EUR/JPY looks for clear direction to stay positive beyond 120.00

  • EUR/JPY carries the bounce off November 2019 lows.
  • Risk reset needs support as Chinese headlines started to reprint downbeat coronavirus updates.
  • Data from Japan and Germany, coupled with political/virus-related news, will be followed for fresh impulse.

EUR/JPY remains mildly bid around 120.30 during early Wednesday. While receding fears of China’s coronavirus helped the pair to take a U-turn from multi-week low the previous day, recent headlines haven’t been positive to stretch the recovery.

While Chinese authorities and experts try to placate fears concerning the outbreak of coronavirus, increasing death toll, to 132 latest, as well as a hike in confirmed cases to 9,239, challenges the optimism.

Following the steady rise in coronavirus fatality, the US seems to ground planes to and from China whereas senior fellows from the Yale University warns on the potential for the coronavirus outbreak to shock the world in a recession.

Even so, the US 10-year treasury yields extend the previous run-up to 1.667% whereas S&P 500 Futures also rise by 0.30% to 3,290.

On the data/event front, the latest Summary of Opinions from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) keeps the bearish bias while highlighting the need for fiscal support to remain prudent.

Traders will now keep eyes on Japan’s January month Consumer Confidence Index and Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence Survey data for February for fresh impulse. While Japanese data is likely to have improved from 39.1 to 40.8, German sentiment gauge is expected to remain unchanged at 9.6. Also should be on the investors’ radar will be political plays in Italy and headlines from China.

Technical Analysis

100-day SMA, at 120.40, caps the pair’s immediate upside while sellers’ entry below the recent low near 119.80 could recall November 2019 bottom surrounding 119.25.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price120.33
Today Daily Change0.06
Today Daily Change %0.05%
Today daily open120.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA20121.54
Daily SMA50121.22
Daily SMA100120.38
Daily SMA200120.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High120.29
Previous Daily Low119.81
Previous Weekly High122.37
Previous Weekly Low120.42
Previous Monthly High124.2
Previous Monthly Low119.98
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%120.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%119.99
Daily Pivot Point S1119.96
Daily Pivot Point S2119.64
Daily Pivot Point S3119.48
Daily Pivot Point R1120.43
Daily Pivot Point R2120.6
Daily Pivot Point R3120.91

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles aroound 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony fails to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD drops toward 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD falls back toward 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday, snapping its recovery momentum. The pair loses traction as the US Dollar finds fresh demand, as markets turn cautious ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks. The US trade policy uncertainty also remains a drag on risk sentiment. 

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets. 

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.